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Determinants of Migration: Cotton Strikes and Income Shocks in Mali

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  • Zachary Barnett-Howell
  • Jeremy Foltz

Abstract

How do transitory income shocks affect household migration decisions in low-income countries? We study how income losses from a cotton strike affecting Malian districts differentially changed agricultural household migration choices. The short duration and geographic specificity of the strike allows us to cleanly identify the long-run impact of a sudden change in household income on migration choices. We show that a drop in income precipitated by the strike reduced household migration rates by approximately 32% over a six-year period. A randomized inference placebo test corroborates the validity of our result. We demonstrate that not having cash on hand is a binding constraint to labor migration for poor populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Zachary Barnett-Howell & Jeremy Foltz, 2022. "Determinants of Migration: Cotton Strikes and Income Shocks in Mali," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 98(4), pages 700-714.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:98:y:2022:i:4:p:700-714
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/le.98.4.082120-0130R
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    File URL: http://le.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/98/4/700
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment

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