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Commodity Revenue Shocks and Mortality

Author

Listed:
  • Marc F. Bellemare
  • Jhih-Yun Liu
  • Joleen Hadrich

Abstract

We look at the relationship between crop revenues and mortality in the Midwest from 1980–2019. For identification, we combine an exposure design with a two-way (that is, county and year) fixed-effects estimator. On average, a decrease in soybean revenue is associated with an increase in mortality. A 10 percent decrease in soybean revenues is associated with a 0.1 percent increase in the age-adjusted all-cause death rate, or about 170 more deaths throughout the Midwest in 2024. Our findings are driven by individuals 65 and older, by women, and they appear mediated by cardiovascular disease and mental health-related issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc F. Bellemare & Jhih-Yun Liu & Joleen Hadrich, 2026. "Commodity Revenue Shocks and Mortality," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 61(S), pages 6-30.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:61:y:2026:i:s:p:s6-s30
    Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0325-14130R2
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    File URL: http://jhr.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/61/S/S6
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

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