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O Comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Ásia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional
[The unexplored trade between Brazil and Asia: An approach through the gravitational model]

Author

Listed:
  • Sílvia Letícia Bampi
  • André Filipe Zago de Azevedo
  • Magnus dos Reis

Abstract

The present study aimed to estimate Brazil’s potential trade with the Asian continent from 2000 to 2014, using a sample of 75 countries. To avoid problems observed in previous studies, the gravitational equation was estimated using the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimator (PPML), calculating the confidence interval of the coefficients with the Delta method. The model was based on panel data with two sets of fixed effects. In absolute terms, there would be a potential for expansion of Brazilian trade with selected Asian countries of US$ 5645 million, equivalent to 7.6% of the average annual trade observed in the period 2000-2014

Suggested Citation

  • Sílvia Letícia Bampi & André Filipe Zago de Azevedo & Magnus dos Reis, 2020. "O Comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Ásia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional [The unexplored trade between Brazil and Asia: An approach through the gravitational model]," Estudios Economicos, Universidad Nacional del Sur, Departamento de Economia, vol. 37(75), pages 51-73, july-dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:uns:esteco:v:37:y:2020:i:75:p:51-73
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    File URL: https://revistas.uns.edu.ar/ee/article/view/1391/1162
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    comércio internacional; modelo gravitacional; Ásia; Brasil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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