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Ever since Allais

Author

Listed:
  • Aluma Dembo
  • Shachar Kariv
  • Matthew Polisson
  • John K.-H. Quah

Abstract

The Allais critique of expected utility theory (EUT) has led to the development of theories of choice under risk that relax the independence axiom but adhere to the fundamental/conventional axioms of ordering (completeness and transitivity) and monotonicity (with respect to first-order stochastic dominance). Unlike experimental work designed to test independence, our experiment is comprehensive, testing the entire set of axioms on which EUT is based. Our econometric analysis is also nonparametric and performed at the level of each individual subject. For the vast majority of subjects, departures from independence are small relative to departures from ordering and/or monotonicity.

Suggested Citation

  • Aluma Dembo & Shachar Kariv & Matthew Polisson & John K.-H. Quah, 2026. "Ever since Allais," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 134(6), pages 1846-1889.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/739829
    DOI: 10.1086/739829
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Nir Billfeld & Moshe Kim, 2024. "Context-dependent Causality (the Non-Nonotonic Case)," Papers 2404.05021, arXiv.org.
    3. Georgios Gerasimou, 2021. "Eliciting and Distinguishing Between Weak and Incomplete Preferences: Theory, Experiment and Computation," Papers 2111.14431, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    4. Brett Williams, 2023. "Violations of first-order stochastic dominance," Journal of the Economic Science Association, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 9(2), pages 239-251, December.
    5. Yi-Shan Lee & Roberto A. Weber, 2025. "Revealed Privacy Preferences: Are Privacy Choices Rational?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(3), pages 2657-2677, March.
    6. Matthew Polisson & John Quah, 2022. "Rationalizability, Cost-Rationalizability, and Afriat's Efficiency Index," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 22/754, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.

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