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Is bank risk appetite relevant to bank default in times of Covid-19?

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  • Pei-Ling Lee
  • Chun-Teck Lye
  • Chin Lee

Abstract

The paper aims to analyze the effect of bank risk appetite on banks' default probabilities during the year of COVID-19 in 12 countries while controlling for bank-specific and country-specific effects over time. A System Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) model of default probabilities is estimated over the periods 2010–2021. This study confirms the ‘risk-mitigation view’, in which banks with higher ESG scores are more prudent in lending and have better relationship management, reducing the probability of bank default. Underperforming banks tend to have a higher portion of risky loans in their credit portfolio and therefore demonstrating a higher default propensity. Bank risk appetite, ESG, asset quality, economic growth, and currency depreciation appear to be material drivers for bank risk. We find that a lower risk appetite ratio (corresponding to higher risk appetite) is associated with higher estimated default probability during the COVID-19 outbreak, identified through interaction with a single time dummy for 2020 (the break-out year of the pandemic). ######### keywords

Suggested Citation

  • Pei-Ling Lee & Chun-Teck Lye & Chin Lee, 2022. "Is bank risk appetite relevant to bank default in times of Covid-19?," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 22(3), pages 109-117.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:22:y:2022:i:3:p:109-117
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    Cited by:

    1. Moura, Bruna Gonçalves Fonseca & Ferreira, Bruno Pérez & Corrêa, Ana Carolina Costa, 2024. "Brazilian banks risk-taking and systemic risk," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    2. Anju Goswami & Pooja Malik, 2024. "Identifying Financial Performance Drivers in the Indian Banking Sector During the COVID-19 Crisis," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(3), pages 667-719, September.
    3. Andreea Maura Bobiceanu & Ioana Georgiana Fä‚Rcaè˜, 2022. "Covid Crisis Effects On Non-Performing Loans In The Romanian Banking Market," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 30, pages 25-37, December.

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