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Financial Development, Real Sector and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Threshold Effect


  • Akinlo Taiwo


This study used a threshold regression model to examine the existence of real sector threshold effects in the relationship between financial development and economic development in 38 sub-Saharan African countries from the period 1986–2015. The study identified threshold values of 31.1860, 33.8982% and 1.2241% for industrial value-added, agricultural value-added and total factor productivity respectively in sub-Saharan Africa. The study found that only when the real sector is proxied by industrial value-added that financial development has a significant impact on economic growth. The conclusion drawn from this empirical study is that financial development will only have a positive and significant impact on economic development when the growth in the real sector accompanies the growth in the financial sector. This study, therefore, recommended that the government of sub-Saharan African countries should ensure that the real sector is not below the threshold value so that financial development can bring development to the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Akinlo Taiwo, 2021. "Financial Development, Real Sector and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Threshold Effect," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 603-626, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:22:y:2021:i:4:p:603-626
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2020.1773608

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    Cited by:

    1. Dhahri, Sabrine & Omri, Anis & Mirza, Nawazish, 2024. "Information technology and financial development for achieving sustainable development goals," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    2. Simplice A. Asongu, Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Information for banking efficiency in Africa: evidence from income levels and legal origins," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 19(2), pages 251-274, December.
    3. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Information Sharing and Banking Efficiency in Africa: A Disaggregated Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers 22/010, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    4. Hasanov, Fakhri J. & Aliyev, Ruslan & Taskin, Dilvin & Suleymanov, Elchin, 2023. "Oil rents and non-oil economic growth in CIS oil exporters. The role of financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. IWASAKI, Ichiro & ONO, Shigeki, 2023. "Economic Development and the Finance-Growth Nexus : A Meta-Analytic Approach," CEI Working Paper Series 2023-06, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

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