IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/transp/v26y2003i6p449-467.html

Coping with uncertainty: an expedition into the field of new transport technology

Author

Listed:
  • Marina Van Geenhuizen
  • Peter Nijkamp

Abstract

Many decisions taken by mankind are rational only to a limited extent. This holds for individual travel behaviour, but also for long-range strategic decisions on transport systems or transport technology. In any decision problem, coping with uncertainty is the most critical element. The introduction of new transport technology is surrounded by uncertainty. For example, there is uncertainty about the pace and extent of adoption of new technology and there is uncertainty about the impact of new technology in terms of increased sustainability or increased efficiency. This article maps uncertainty surrounding new transport technology and identifies ways in which to deal with uncertainty in policy making. The findings will be illustrated with electric vehicles, particularly with two specific strategies to deal with uncertainty: interactive technology watching and experimentation in a market niche. The paper concludes with a discussion of success factors that influence the outcomes of such strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina Van Geenhuizen & Peter Nijkamp, 2003. "Coping with uncertainty: an expedition into the field of new transport technology," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 449-467, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:6:p:449-467
    DOI: 10.1080/0308106032000167355
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0308106032000167355
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/0308106032000167355?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or

    for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sestino, Andrea & Peluso, Alessandro M. & Amatulli, Cesare & Guido, Gianluigi, 2022. "Let me drive you! The effect of change seeking and behavioral control in the Artificial Intelligence-based self-driving cars," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L90 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:6:p:449-467. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/GTPT20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.