IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/oaefxx/v6y2018i1p1460027.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Is the effect of exchange rate volatility on export diversification symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from Ghana

Author

Listed:
  • Camara Kwasi Obeng

Abstract

Exchange rate volatility has been identified as one of the drivers of export diversification. Previous studies have assumed a symmetric relationship between the two variables. However, because volatility could be positive or negative and economic agents react to these changes differently, recent studies argue for the adoption of an asymmetric approach to the study of the relationship between the two variables. This study employed the partial sum process to create two variables to replace exchange rate volatility (Positive and negative variables) and utilized the Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) techniques to investigate asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on export diversification in Ghana for the period 1983 to 2015. The results indicate that exchange rate volatility has asymmetric relationship with export diversification in Ghana. The study revealed that other drivers of export diversification in Ghana are income, investment, infrastructure, openness, and inflation. The paper recommends that the Central Bank should strengthen its efforts at stabilizing the exchange value of the cedi.

Suggested Citation

  • Camara Kwasi Obeng, 2018. "Is the effect of exchange rate volatility on export diversification symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from Ghana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1460027-146, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1460027
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1460027
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/23322039.2018.1460027
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/23322039.2018.1460027?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Itai Agur, 2016. "Products and Provinces: A Disaggregated Panel Analysis of Canada’s Manufacturing Exports," IMF Working Papers 2016/193, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Jérôme Héricourt & Sandra Poncet, 2015. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Financial Constraints, and Trade: Empirical Evidence from Chinese Firms," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 29(3), pages 550-578.
    3. Jean Imbs & Romain Wacziarg, 2003. "Stages of Diversification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 63-86, March.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Antoine Berthou & Lionel Fontagné, 2008. "The Euro and the Intensive and Extensive Margins of Trade: Evidence from French Firm Level Data," Working Papers 2008-06, CEPII research center.
    6. Daniel Goya, 2014. "The Multiple Impacts of the Exchange Rate on Export Diversification," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1436, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. World Bank, 2016. "World Development Indicators 2016," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 23969.
    8. Paul De Grauwe, 1988. "Exchange Rate Variability and the Slowdown in Growth of International Trade," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 35(1), pages 63-84, March.
    9. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Halicioglu, Ferda & Hegerty, Scott W., 2016. "Mexican bilateral trade and the J-curve: An application of the nonlinear ARDL model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 23-40.
    10. Adam B. ELHIRAIKA & Michael M. MBATE, 2014. "Assessing the Determinants of Export Diversification in Africa," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 147-160.
    11. Bedassa Tadesse & Elias K. Shukralla, 2013. "The impact of foreign direct investment on horizontal export diversification: empirical evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 141-159, January.
    12. Romina Kazandjian & Ms. Lisa L Kolovich & Ms. Kalpana Kochhar & Ms. Monique Newiak, 2016. "Gender Equality and Economic Diversification," IMF Working Papers 2016/140, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Amirhossein Mohammadian, 2016. "Asymmetry Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Domestic Production: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 181-191, September.
    14. Andrew K. Rose, 2000. "One money, one market: the effect of common currencies on trade," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 08-45.
    15. Mohsen Bahmani-oskooee & Hadise Fariditavana, 2014. "Do Exchange Rate Changes have Symmetric Effect on the S-Curve?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(1), pages 164-173.
    16. Iwamoto, Manabu & Nabeshima, Kaoru, 2012. "Can FDI promote export diversification and sophistication of host countries? : dynamic panel system GMM analysis," IDE Discussion Papers 347, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    17. Ben Hammouda, Hakim & Karingi, Stephen & Njuguna, Angelica & Sadni Jallab, Mustapha, 2006. "Diversification: towards a new paradigm for Africa’s development," MPRA Paper 13359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hadise Fariditavana, 2015. "Nonlinear ARDL approach, asymmetric effects and the J-curve," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(3), pages 519-530, August.
    19. Roberto Álvarez & Michael Doyle & Ricardo A. López, 2009. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Margins," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 539, Central Bank of Chile.
    20. repec:wsr:wpaper:y:2013:i:112 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi & Obeng, Camara Kwasi & Mwinlaaru, Yeltulme Pter, 2021. "Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Tax Revenue Performance In Sub-Saharan Africa," EconStor Preprints 233955, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Hossain, Saddam & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is the relationship between FDI and inflation nonlinear and asymmetric? new evidence from NARDL approach," MPRA Paper 112549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Moeti Damane, 2022. "Investigating the determinants of commercial bank interest rate spreads in Lesotho: Evidence from autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non‐linear ARDL approaches," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4256-4278, October.
    4. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi & Obeng, Camara Kwasi & Armah, Mark Kojo, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and tax revenue: Evidence from Ghana," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(1).
    5. Mbulawa, Strike & Chingoiro, Samuel, 2024. "Exports Diversification in Botswana: Key Drivers and Policy Implications," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 77(4), pages 555-580.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Halicioglu, Ferda, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on Turkish bilateral trade balances," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 279-296.
    2. Olivier Cadot & Jaime de Melo & Patrick Plane & Laurent Wagner & Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael, 2016. "Industrialisation et transformation structurelle : l’Afrique subsaharienne peut-elle se développer sans usines ?," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 24(2), pages 19-49.
    3. Obeng, Camara Kwasi, 2017. "Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Non-Traditional Exports in Ghana," MPRA Paper 79026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Goya, Daniel, 2020. "The exchange rate and export variety: A cross-country analysis with long panel estimators," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 649-665.
    5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Sujata Saha, 2017. "Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach And Bilateral J-Curve: India Versus Her Trading Partners," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 35(3), pages 472-483, July.
    6. Olivier CADOT & Jaime de MELO & Patrick PLANE & Laurent WAGNER & Martha TESFAYE WOLDEMICHAEL, 2017. "L’Afrique subsaharienne peut-elle se développer sans usines ?," Working Paper 084c8bee-b301-4412-8ca4-c, Agence française de développement.
    7. Daniel Goya, 2014. "The Multiple Impacts of the Exchange Rate on Export Diversification," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1436, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Amighini, Alessia & Sanfilippo, Marco, 2014. "Impact of South–South FDI and Trade on the Export Upgrading of African Economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-17.
    9. Serdan Ongar & Dilek Ozdemir & Cem Isik, 2018. "Testing the J-Curve Hypothesis for the USA: Applications of the Nonlinear and Linear ARDL Models," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 16(1), pages 21-34.
    10. Wenni Lei & Yuwei Luo, 2022. "Institutions Rule in Export Diversity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-14, September.
    11. Michał Brzozowski & Grzegorz Tchorek, 2017. "Exchange Rate Risk as an Obstacle to Export Activity," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 115-141.
    12. Iyoboyi, Martins, 2019. "Macroeconomic Analysis of Export Diversification in Nigeria," Empirical Economic Review, Department of Economics and Statistics, Dr Hassan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, vol. 2(1), pages 83-116.
    13. Dene T. Hurley & Nikolaos Papanikolaou, 2018. "An Investigation of China‐U.S. Bilateral Trade and Exchange Rate Changes Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 37(2), pages 162-179, June.
    14. Javed Iqbal & Sitara Jabeen & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Pakistan–Japan Commodity Trade: Evidence from Non-linear ARDL Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 657-732, September.
    15. Balázs Égert & Amalia Morales‐Zumaquero, 2008. "Exchange Rate Regimes, Foreign Exchange Volatility, and Export Performance in Central and Eastern Europe: Just another Blur Project?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(3), pages 577-593, August.
    16. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Augustine C. Arize, 2020. "Asymmetric response of domestic production to exchange rate changes: evidence from Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 1-24, February.
    17. Peñaranda Molina, Diego Andrés, 2021. "Determinantes de la diversificación de exportaciones en Sudamérica: un análisis con datos de panel," Documentos de trabajo 3/2021, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    18. Ho Hoang Gia Bao & Hoang Phong Le, 2022. "The Roles of Vehicle Currency and Real Effective Exchange Rates in the Trade of Every ASEAN Member With the EU-28," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, April.
    19. Khalid M. Kisswani & Arezou Harraf & Amjad M. Kisswani, 2019. "Revisiting the effects of oil prices on exchange rate: asymmetric evidence from the ASEAN-5 countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 279-300, August.
    20. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2017. "Malaysia–Korea Commodity Trade: Are there Asymmetric Responses to Exchange Rate Changes?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 36(2), pages 198-222, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1460027. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/OAEF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.