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Factors determining residents’ preparedness for floods in modern megalopolises: the case of the Tokai flood disaster in Japan

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  • Kenji Takao
  • Tadahiro Motoyoshi
  • Teruko Sato
  • Teruki Fukuzondo
  • Kami Seo
  • Saburo Ikeda

Abstract

This study examines how flood risk perception and home ownership affect residents’ preparedness for floods, focusing specifically on the case of the Tokai flood disaster in Nagoya City, one of Japan’s biggest metropolises, in 2000. The greatest rainfall ever recorded in Nagoya City (566.5 mm) occurred on 11--12 September 2000; as a result, a local river burst its banks and flooded the city. A survey was conducted of residents of the affected area in Nagoya City and its adjacent region. The respondents were asked to rate the extent of their experience with, anticipation of, and preparedness for floods before and after the Tokai disaster in terms of taking special measures against floods. The results showed that the degree of preparedness for floods was determined by the level of fear of floods and the amount of damage sustained during the Tokai flood, especially for homeowners. However, the residents’ preparedness did not depend on their anticipation of floods. These findings show that preparedness for floods depends on ownership of a home, fear of flooding, and the amount of damage from previous floods rather than on previous experience with and anticipation of floods.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenji Takao & Tadahiro Motoyoshi & Teruko Sato & Teruki Fukuzondo & Kami Seo & Saburo Ikeda, 2004. "Factors determining residents’ preparedness for floods in modern megalopolises: the case of the Tokai flood disaster in Japan," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(7-8), pages 775-787, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jriskr:v:7:y:2004:i:7-8:p:775-787
    DOI: 10.1080/1366987031000075996
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    Cited by:

    1. Ethan T. Knocke & Korine N. Kolivras, 2007. "Flash Flood Awareness in Southwest Virginia," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(1), pages 155-169, February.
    2. Jing-Shia Tang & Jui-Ying Feng, 2018. "Residents’ Disaster Preparedness after the Meinong Taiwan Earthquake: A Test of Protection Motivation Theory," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-12, July.
    3. Delin Liu & Mengjie Li & Yue Li & Hao Chen, 2022. "Assessment of Public Flood Risk Perception and Influencing Factors: An Example of Jiaozuo City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    4. Saud Alshehri & Yacine Rezgui & Haijiang Li, 2013. "Public perception of the risk of disasters in a developing economy: the case of Saudi Arabia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(3), pages 1813-1830, February.
    5. Heidi Kreibich & Philip Bubeck & Mathijs Vliet & Hans Moel, 2015. "A review of damage-reducing measures to manage fluvial flood risks in a changing climate," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(6), pages 967-989, August.
    6. Osberghaus, Daniel, 2015. "The determinants of private flood mitigation measures in Germany — Evidence from a nationwide survey," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 36-50.
    7. Ewa Lechowska, 2022. "Approaches in research on flood risk perception and their importance in flood risk management: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2343-2378, April.
    8. Md Omar Faruk & Keshav Lall Maharjan, 2023. "The Determinants of Farmers’ Perceived Flood Risk and Their Flood Adaptation Assessments: A Study in a Char-Land Area of Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-21, September.
    9. Patrick Bottazzi & Mirko S. Winkler & Sébastien Boillat & Abdoulaye Diagne & Mashoudou Maman Chabi Sika & Arsène Kpangon & Salimata Faye & Chinwe Ifejika Speranza, 2018. "Measuring Subjective Flood Resilience in Suburban Dakar: A Before–After Evaluation of the “Live with Water” Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, June.
    10. Ratih Dyah Kusumastuti & N. Nurmala & A. Arviansyah & Sigit Sulistiyo Wibowo, 2022. "Indicators of community preparedness for fast-onset disasters: a systematic literature review and case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 787-821, January.
    11. Da-Hye Yeon & Ji-Bum Chung & Dong-Hyeon Im, 2020. "The Effects of Earthquake Experience on Disaster Education for Children and Teens," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-14, July.
    12. Cristóbal De La Maza & Alex Davis & Cleotilde Gonzalez & Inês Azevedo, 2019. "Understanding Cumulative Risk Perception from Judgments and Choices: An Application to Flood Risks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 488-504, February.
    13. Dingde Xu & Yi Liu & Xin Deng & Chen Qing & Linmei Zhuang & Zhuolin Yong & Kai Huang, 2019. "Earthquake Disaster Risk Perception Process Model for Rural Households: A Pilot Study from Southwestern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-18, November.
    14. Farman Ullah & Shahab E. Saqib & Mokbul Morshed Ahmad & Mahmoud Ali Fadlallah, 2020. "Flood risk perception and its determinants among rural households in two communities in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 225-247, October.
    15. Michal Titko & Jozef Ristvej & Zenon Zamiar, 2021. "Population Preparedness for Disasters and Extreme Weather Events as a Predictor of Building a Resilient Society: The Slovak Republic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-24, February.
    16. P. Bubeck & W. J. W. Botzen & J. C. J. H. Aerts, 2012. "A Review of Risk Perceptions and Other Factors that Influence Flood Mitigation Behavior," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(9), pages 1481-1495, September.
    17. Ewa Lechowska, 2018. "What determines flood risk perception? A review of factors of flood risk perception and relations between its basic elements," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(3), pages 1341-1366, December.
    18. Wim Kellens & Teun Terpstra & Philippe De Maeyer, 2013. "Perception and Communication of Flood Risks: A Systematic Review of Empirical Research," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(1), pages 24-49, January.
    19. Soichiro Maruta & Akinori Kitsuki & Shunsuke Managi, 2020. "Perceived Arrival Time of Disaster Relief Supplies Matters for Household Preparedness for Natural Disasters," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 365-384, July.

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