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Empirical Analysis of Affine Versus Nonaffine Variance Specifications in Jump-Diffusion Models for Equity Indices

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  • Katja Ignatieva
  • Paulo Rodrigues
  • Norman Seeger

Abstract

This article investigates several crucial issues that arise when modeling equity returns with stochastic variance. (i) Does the model need to include jumps even when using a nonaffine variance specification? We find that jump models clearly outperform pure stochastic volatility models. (ii) How do affine variance specifications perform when compared to nonaffine models in a jump diffusion setup? We find that nonaffine specifications outperform affine models, even after including jumps.

Suggested Citation

  • Katja Ignatieva & Paulo Rodrigues & Norman Seeger, 2015. "Empirical Analysis of Affine Versus Nonaffine Variance Specifications in Jump-Diffusion Models for Equity Indices," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 68-75, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:33:y:2015:i:1:p:68-75
    DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.922471
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    Cited by:

    1. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2017. "Equity index variance: Evidence from flexible parametric jump–diffusion models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 85-103.
    2. Gudkov, Nikolay & Ignatieva, Katja, 2021. "Electricity price modelling with stochastic volatility and jumps: An empirical investigation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    3. Pollastri, Alessandro & Rodrigues, Paulo & Schlag, Christian & Seeger, Norman J., 2023. "A jumping index of jumping stocks? An MCMC analysis of continuous-time models for individual stocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 322-341.
    4. Ignatieva, Katja & Wong, Patrick, 2022. "Modelling high frequency crude oil dynamics using affine and non-affine jump–diffusion models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Neumann, Maximilian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2016. "Jump and variance risk premia in the S&P 500," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 72-83.
    6. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2018. "Model Complexity and Out-of-Sample Performance: Evidence from S&P 500 Index Returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-29.

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