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Does the financial system support economic growth in times of financialisation? Evidence for Portugal

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  • Ricardo Barradas

Abstract

This paper conducts a time series econometric analysis in order to examine empirically the relationship between the financial system and economic growth in Portugal from 1977 to 2016. The Portuguese financial system has experienced a strong wave of privatisations, liberalisations and deregulations since the adhesion of Portugal to the European Economic Community in 1986, which has not favoured a sustained path of strong economic growth since then. The paper estimates a linear growth model and a non-linear growth model, which includes four proxies for the financial system (money supply, credit, financial value added and stock market capitalisation) and four further control variables (inflation, government consumption, trade openness and education). The paper finds a negative linear relationship between the banking system and Portuguese economic growth, a positive linear relationship between the stock markets and Portuguese economic growth, a concave quadratic relationship between the banking system and Portuguese economic growth, and a convex quadratic relationship between the stock markets and Portuguese economic growth. This suggests that Portuguese policy makers should canalise efforts to decrease the importance of banking system and to increase the importance of stock markets in order to support more robust economic growth in the coming years.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Barradas, 2020. "Does the financial system support economic growth in times of financialisation? Evidence for Portugal," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6), pages 785-806, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:34:y:2020:i:6:p:785-806
    DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2020.1782854
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    Cited by:

    1. João Alcobia & Ricardo Barradas, 2022. "Falling Labour Share and the Anaemic Growth in Portugal: a Post-Keynesian Econometric Analysis," Working Papers REM 2022/0247, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Yanhong Liu & Jia Lei & Yihua Zhang, 2021. "A Study on the Sustainable Relationship among the Green Finance, Environment Regulation and Green-Total-Factor Productivity in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-27, October.
    3. Ricardo Barradas, 2023. "Why Has Labor Productivity Slowed Down in the Era of Financialization?: Insights from the Post-Keynesians for the European Union Countries," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 390-422, September.
    4. Joanna Stawska & Ramona Rupeika-Apoga & Maciej Malaczewski & Iwona Dorota Czechowska & Fatima Sol Murta, 2022. "Financialization: curse or salvation? The case of Latvia, a small and post-transition economy," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 9(3), pages 173-197, March.
    5. João Alcobia & Ricardo Barradas, 2023. "Functional Income Distribution And Secular Stagnation In Europe: An Analysis Of The Post-Keynesian Growth Drivers," Working Papers REM 2023/0283, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. Diogo Correia & Ricardo Barradas, 2021. "Financialisation and the slowdown of labour productivity in Portugal: A Post-Keynesian approach," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(299), pages 325-346.

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