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Resource Price, Macroeconomic Distortions, and Public Outlay: Evidence from Oil-Exporting Countries

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  • Samson Adeniyi Aladejare

Abstract

This study examines the repercussions of oil price and macroeconomic distortions on government expenditure in 15 oil-exporting countries. Adapting the Pooled Mean Group analytical approach, the long-run findings are indicative of a blend of the Dutch disease and rent-seeking hypothesis of the resource curse theory in oil-exporting countries. These effects crucially impact on the poor growth of the real sector in these countries, needed for diversification of their revenue base. Furthermore, both resource curses account for one of the reasons why fiscal deficits in oil-exporting countries have been on the rise. The country short-run coefficient for the balance of payment, economic growth, and exchange rate also supports the Dutch disease and rent-seeking hypothesis mix found in the long run. Also, the significant negative impact of oil rents in most countries shows that oil-exporting countries have been making attempts at diversifying their income sources; this is because proceeds from oil cannot be relied upon to adequately finance growing government expenditure, due to the volatile nature of oil prices, thus suggesting also that the volatility hypothesis is valid for most oil-exporting countries in the short run.

Suggested Citation

  • Samson Adeniyi Aladejare, 2018. "Resource Price, Macroeconomic Distortions, and Public Outlay: Evidence from Oil-Exporting Countries," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 199-218, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:32:y:2018:i:2:p:199-218
    DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2018.1481128
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    Cited by:

    1. Eregha, Perekunah B. & Mesagan, Ekundayo P., 2020. "Oil resources, deficit financing and per capita GDP growth in selected oil-rich African nations: A dynamic heterogeneous panel approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Abdulaziz H. Algaeed, 2022. "Government Spending Volatility and Real Economic Growth: Evidence From a Major Oil Producing Country, Saudi Arabia, 1970 to 2018," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, April.
    3. Aladejare, Samson Adeniyi, 2023. "Economic prosperity, asymmetric natural resource income, and ecological demands in resource-reliant economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Ekananda, Mahjus, 2022. "Role of macroeconomic determinants on the natural resource commodity prices: Indonesia futures volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

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