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Investigating Transit-Induced Displacement Using Eviction Data

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  • Elizabeth C. Delmelle
  • Isabelle Nilsson
  • Alexander Bryant

Abstract

This article uses eviction data to test the transit-induced displacement hypothesis—that the placement of new transit stations will lead to elevated property values, gentrification, and displacement. We use a case study of four cities in the United States that built or extended rail lines between 2005 and 2009: Newark, New Jersey; San Diego, California; Seattle, Washington; and St. Louis, Missouri. We employ a combination of propensity score matching and difference-in-differences modeling to compare eviction filing rates in gentrifiable neighborhoods near new transit stations with a set of similar neighborhoods not close to the station. We find very limited evidence that new transit neighborhoods experienced heightened rates of evictions compared with the controls. In three of the four cities, the effect of the opening of the station on eviction rates was insignificant. Eviction rates did spike in St. Louis immediately following the opening of the line, but this time period also coincided with the financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Elizabeth C. Delmelle & Isabelle Nilsson & Alexander Bryant, 2021. "Investigating Transit-Induced Displacement Using Eviction Data," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 326-341, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:houspd:v:31:y:2021:i:2:p:326-341
    DOI: 10.1080/10511482.2020.1815071
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    Cited by:

    1. Acton, Blake & Le, Huyen T.K. & Miller, Harvey J., 2022. "Impacts of bus rapid transit (BRT) on residential property values: A comparative analysis of 11 US BRT systems," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    2. Meriläinen, Marjut & Karhula, Aleksi & Kurvinen, Antti & Falkenbach, Heidi & Ala-Mantila, Sanna, 2024. "Transit-induced socioeconomic ascent and new metro stations in Helsinki Metropolitan Area: Distinct effects on renters, homeowners, and pre-existing housing dwellers," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Viguié, Vincent & Liotta, Charlotte & Pfeiffer, Basile & Coulombel, Nicolas, 2023. "Can public transport improve accessibility for the poor over the long term? Empirical evidence in Paris, 1968–2010," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Allen, Jeff & Higgins, Christopher D. & Silver, Daniel & Farber, Steven, 2023. "Are low-income residents disproportionately moving away from transit?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    5. Liang, Cong & Huang, Yaoxuan & Yip, Tsz Leung & Li, Victor Jing, 2022. "Does rail transit development gentrify neighborhoods? Evidence from Hong Kong," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 354-372.

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