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Red sky at night or in the morning, to the equity market neither a delight nor a warning: the weather effect re-examined using intraday stock data

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  • Fabio Pizzutilo
  • Valeria Roncone

Abstract

Unlike most of the existing literature on the weather effect, we conducted our analysis by employing intraday weather and market data, examining a large set of stocks rather than indices only, including volume and volatility data in the study and inspecting a wide number of weather variables (temperature, humidity, pressure, visibility, wind, cloud, rain and snow). Our analysis covered the Italian stock market for the period August 2005–March 2014 for a total of 2201 trading days. We conclude that no systematic relationship seems to exist between the weather and the Italian stock market. Moreover, our results raise doubts that testing the weather effect by limiting the analysis to indices only can lead to spurious conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Pizzutilo & Valeria Roncone, 2017. "Red sky at night or in the morning, to the equity market neither a delight nor a warning: the weather effect re-examined using intraday stock data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(14), pages 1280-1310, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:23:y:2017:i:14:p:1280-1310
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2016.1151808
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    Cited by:

    1. Hyein Shim & Maria H. Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Effects of intraday weather changes on asset returns and volatilities," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 301-330.
    2. Chuang, Yi-Wei & Tsai, Wei-Che & Weng, Pei-Shih, 2020. "The impact of weather on order submissions and trading performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Kostyantyn MALYSHENKO & Vadim MALYSHENKO & Elena Yu. PONOMAREVA & Marina ANASHKINA, 2019. "Analysis of the stock market anomalies in the context of changing the information paradigm," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 239-270, June.
    4. Radeef Chundakkadan, 2021. "Light a lamp and look at the stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, December.
    5. Nils Muhlack & Christian Soost & Christian Johannes Henrich, 2022. "Does Weather Still Affect The Stock Market?," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 74(1), pages 1-35, March.
    6. Zhuhua Jiang & Sang Hoon Kang & Chongcheul Cheong & Seong-Min Yoon, 2019. "The Effects of Extreme Weather Conditions on Hong Kong and Shenzhen Stock Market Returns," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-14, December.

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