IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/emetrv/v35y2016i2p263-292.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Conditional VAR and Expected Shortfall: A New Functional Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Frédéric Ferraty
  • Alejandro Quintela-Del-Río

Abstract

We estimate two well-known risk measures, the value-at-risk (VAR) and the expected shortfall, conditionally to a functional variable (i.e., a random variable valued in some semi(pseudo)-metric space). We use nonparametric kernel estimation for constructing estimators of these quantities, under general dependence conditions. Theoretical properties are stated whereas practical aspects are illustrated on simulated data: nonlinear functional and GARCH(1,1) models. Some ideas on bandwidth selection using bootstrap are introduced. Finally, an empirical example is given through data of the S&P 500 time series.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Ferraty & Alejandro Quintela-Del-Río, 2016. "Conditional VAR and Expected Shortfall: A New Functional Approach," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 263-292, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:35:y:2016:i:2:p:263-292
    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2013.807107
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/07474938.2013.807107
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/07474938.2013.807107?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gery Geenens & Richard Dunn, 2017. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Papers 1712.05527, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    2. Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Forecasting value at risk with intra-day return curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1023-1038.
    3. Geenens, Gery & Dunn, Richard, 2022. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 19-37.
    4. Gaoke Liao & Zhenghui Li & Ziqing Du & Yue Liu, 2019. "The Heterogeneous Interconnections between Supply or Demand Side and Oil Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.
    5. d’Addona, Stefano & Khanom, Najrin, 2022. "Estimating tail-risk using semiparametric conditional variance with an application to meme stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 241-260.
    6. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
    7. Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
    8. Larbi Ait-Hennani & Zoulikha Kaid & Ali Laksaci & Mustapha Rachdi, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Expected Shortfall Regression for Quasi-Associated Functional Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-23, November.
    9. Cerqueti, Roy & Giacalone, Massimiliano & Panarello, Demetrio, 2019. "A Generalized Error Distribution Copula-based method for portfolios risk assessment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 687-695.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:35:y:2016:i:2:p:263-292. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/LECR20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.