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Tests for a Unit Root Using Three-Regime TAR Models: Power Comparison and Some Applications


  • Daiki Maki


Tests for a unit root using three-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) models play a significant role in the empirical analysis of some economic theories. This article compares the powers of recently proposed unit root tests in three-regime TAR models using Monte Carlo experiments. The following results are obtained from the Monte Carlo simulations: Kapetanios and Shin's (2006) Wsup, Wave, and Wexp statistics, which degenerate with respect to the threshold parameters under the null hypothesis, have a better power in the three-regime TAR process with a relatively narrow band of a unit root process and a small sample, whereas their statistics do not perform well when the threshold and sample size increase; Bec et al.'s (2004, BBC) sup W and Park and Shintani's (2005) inf-t statistics and their restricted models, which do not degenerate with respect to the threshold parameters in the limit, perform poorly in the three-regime TAR process with a small threshold even when compared with the Dickey-Fuller test, whereas their statistics perform better in the case of a large threshold; sup W, inf-t, and their restricted models perform much better when the sample size and threshold increase and the outer regimes have a rapid convergence. In order to substantiate the use of our Monte Carlo results for some of the applied work, we apply these tests to the real exchange rates for many countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Daiki Maki, 2009. "Tests for a Unit Root Using Three-Regime TAR Models: Power Comparison and Some Applications," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 335-363.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:28:y:2009:i:4:p:335-363 DOI: 10.1080/07474930802458893

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Niels Haldrup & Robinson Kruse & Timo Teräsvirta & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2013. "Unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks," Chapters,in: Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 4, pages 61-94 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Daiki Maki & Shin-ichi Kitasaka, 2015. "Residual-based tests for cointegration with three-regime TAR adjustment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1013-1054, May.
    3. Yoon, Gawon, 2010. "Do real exchange rates really follow threshold autoregressive or exponential smooth transition autoregressive models?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 605-612, March.

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    Power; Three-regime TAR model; Unit root test;


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