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Twenty-year review of South African fiscal policy: A tale of two sustainabilities

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  • Philippe Burger
  • Estian Calitz

Abstract

In 2014 democracy in South Africa was 20 years old. The democratic government in 1994 inherited both a high and increasing public debt/gross domestic product ratio and significant development backlogs. The government had to establish fiscal sustainability, yet also pursue development in a sustainable way. This article explores the government's performance in reconciling fiscal sustainability with sustainable development. The article shows that fiscal policy has been sustainable over the 20 years, with some risks appearing towards the end, and that the government pursued sustainable development through reallocating resources within the budget and by spending more in real terms. Three phases can be identified: 1994-2000, 2001-08 and 2009-13. However, poor service delivery and low levels of government investment during the 20 years threaten to undermine economic growth. Lower growth consequently threatens the sustainability of both fiscal policy and development, which, in turn, again undermines growth prospects. Hence, the article also identifies key future challenges.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Burger & Estian Calitz, 2015. "Twenty-year review of South African fiscal policy: A tale of two sustainabilities," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(6), pages 639-657, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:32:y:2015:i:6:p:639-657
    DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2015.1063989
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Loewald & David Faulkner & Konstantin Makrelov, 2020. "Time consistency and economic growth a case study of south african macroeconomic policy," Working Papers 10421, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Olumide Olusegun Olaoye & Phillip A. Olomola, 2023. "Subā€Saharan Africa's rising public debt stock: Is there a cause for concern?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(1), pages 85-115, March.
    3. Olaoye, Olumide Olusegun & Olomola, P.A., 2022. "Empirical analysis of asymmetry phenomenon in the public debt structure of Sub-Saharan Africa's five biggest economies: A Markov-Switching model," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    4. Philippe Burger, 2023. "The economic context of realizing socioeconomic rights in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-129, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Johan Fourie, 2016. "The long walk to economic freedom after apartheid, and the road ahead," Working Papers 11/2016, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

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