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Small world, big guns: globalization, interstate security networks and conventional weapons imports

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  • Steven J. Childs

Abstract

With the burgeoning influence of emerging markets in Asia, a tectonic shift is taking place in the global security landscape. Asian states are concomitantly arming as their economic clout grows. In light of these developments, security analysts would benefit from a formal means of placing these arms acquisitions in a structural context. Are arms acquisitions on par with the expectations of Asian states, given their structural dispositions, or are recent acquisitions beyond anticipated levels? By using a dynamic panel regression of 187 states from 1950 to 2011, this research predicts arms import volume using the degree of interstate arms linkages, the size of a state's military, and its level of economic development. The technique offers analysts a formal means of distinguishing orthodox behavior in importing conventional weapons from extraneous security motivations. The article concludes by generating near-term forecasts of Asian arms imports and discussing the implications of the technique.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven J. Childs, 2012. "Small world, big guns: globalization, interstate security networks and conventional weapons imports," Defense & Security Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 343-359, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cdanxx:v:28:y:2012:i:4:p:343-359
    DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2012.730726
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    Cited by:

    1. Pamp, Oliver & Lebacher, Michael & Thurner, Paul W. & Ziegler, Eva, 2021. "Explaining destinations and volumes of international arms transfers: A novel network Heckman selection model," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

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