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Interest rate fixation, excessive fluctuations and exchange rate management in China

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  • Bing Tong
  • Guang Yang

Abstract

This article proves in a New Keynesian model that interest rate fixation can explain ChinaŠs excessive business cycle fluctuations. The fixed nominal interest rate changes the propagation of external shocks, magnifies volatility of endogenous variables, and leads to economic instability. We then extend the model to a small open economy featuring capital controls, sterilized interventions and a managed exchange rate to capture the main characteristics of the Chinese economy. We prove that the magnifying effect of interest rate fixation holds in such an environment, but this effect diminishes with a more strictly managed exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Bing Tong & Guang Yang, 2021. "Interest rate fixation, excessive fluctuations and exchange rate management in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(26), pages 2993-3022, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:2993-3022
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870920
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    Cited by:

    1. Yihao Xue & Qiaoyu Liang & Bing Tong, 2022. "The Effects of Energy Supply Shocks and Interest Rate Liberalization in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2022/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    2. Tong, Bing, 2021. "The effects of capacity reduction policy under the interest rate peg in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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