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Investigating Bahrain business cycles

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  • Ahmed Alyousha

Abstract

The motive of this paper is to study and hence establish stylized facts for the small oil producing economy of Bahrain using time series techniques. This is done by estimating persistence in GDP and its two main components (oil and non-oil GDP) and by testing for the macroeconomic variables driving the non-oil business cycles. Applying these techniques to Bahrain data show: (i) GDP, non-oil GDP and oil GDP have little persistence, so that an innovation at the level of these series will have only transitory effects; and (ii) government expenditure is the only macro variable that Grangercauses non-oil business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed Alyousha, 1997. "Investigating Bahrain business cycles," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 43-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:43-50
    DOI: 10.1080/000368497327380
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Salih, Siddig A. & Branson, William H. & Ebraheem, Yusuf H. Al, "undated". "Oil Driven Macroeconometric Model of Kuwait," WIDER Working Papers 295624, United Nations University, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghassan Dibeh, 2008. "The business cycle in postwar Lebanon," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 145-160.
    2. Nakibullah, Ashraf & Islam, Faridul, 2007. "Effect of government spending on non-oil GDP of Bahrain," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 760-774, October.
    3. Valerie Cerra & Sweta Saxena, 2008. "Business cycle dynamics in a small open economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(15), pages 1153-1157.

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