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Index futures trading and spot price volatility

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  • Shang-Wu Yu

Abstract

A modified Levene statistic and a switching GARCH(1,1)-MA(1) model are employed to examine the impact of index futures contracts on the volatility of the spot market. The findings suggest that, following the introduction of index futures, the volatility of stock returns in the USA, France, Japan and Australia, rose significantly, while no significant changes in the volatility were found in the UK and Hong Kong. The different results might be attributed to macroeconomic factors and the structure of the various markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Shang-Wu Yu, 2001. "Index futures trading and spot price volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 183-186.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:183-186
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504568
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    Cited by:

    1. Bohl, Martin T. & Diesteldorf, Jeanne & Siklos, Pierre L., 2015. "The effect of index futures trading on volatility: Three markets for Chinese stocks," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 207-224.
    2. Shu-Mei Chiang & Chi-Tai Lin & Chien-Ming Huang, 2013. "The Relationships Among Stocks, Bonds and Gold: Safe Haven, Hedge or Neither?," Diversity, Technology, and Innovation for Operational Competitiveness: Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Technology Innovation and Industrial Management,, ToKnowPress.
    3. Esteban Jadresic & Jorge Selaive, 2006. "Is the Foreign Exchange Derivates Market Effective and Efficient in Reducing Currency Risk?," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Sc (ed.),External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 8, pages 253-288, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Loc Dong Truong & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen & Dut Van Vo, 2021. "Index Future Trading and Spot Market Volatility in Frontier Markets: Evidence from Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 353-366, September.
    5. Shailesh Rastogi & Chaitaly Athaley, 2019. "Volatility Integration in Spot, Futures and Options Markets: A Regulatory Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.
    6. George Karathanassis & Vasilios Sogiakas, 2010. "Spill over effects of futures contracts initiation on the cash market: a regime shift approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 95-143, January.
    7. Ismail bin Ahmad & Fahmi bin Abdul Rahim, 2009. "International price relationship and volatility transmission between stock index and stock index futures," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 1(1), pages 61-75, April.

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