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Measuring the sustainability of Latin American external debt

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  • Maryann Keating
  • Barry Keating

Abstract

This article, based on a theoretical model of external debt sustainability, compares Latin American GDP growth with the debt service to total debt ratio. A country-by-country forecast of external debt composition is presented and discussed. External Debt Forecasting is accomplished using yearly data from Global Development Finance 1999. Data for the years 1970 to 1999 are used for a Latin American composite and cross-country comparisons between Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Venezuela.

Suggested Citation

  • Maryann Keating & Barry Keating, 2003. "Measuring the sustainability of Latin American external debt," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 359-362.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:359-362
    DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000079120
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liliana Rojas-Suárez & Michael Gavin & Guillermo Perry & Leonardo Leiderman & Steven R. Weisbrod & Ricardo Hausmann & Michael Bruno & Lawrence H. Summers & Domingo Cavallo & Jacob Frenkel & Arturo C. , 1996. "Volatile Capital Flows: Taming Their Impact on Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 79522 edited by Liliana Rojas-Suárez & Ricardo Hausmann, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark J. Holmes, 2006. "Do Latin American Countries Have an Incentive to Default on Their External Debts?: A Perspective Based on Long-Run Current Account Behavior," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 33-49, February.
    2. Mark Holmes & Theodore Panagiotidis & Abhijit Sharma, 2011. "The sustainability of India's current account," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 219-229.
    3. Mark J. Holmes, 2006. "Do Latin American Countries Have an Incentive to Default on Their External Debts?: A Perspective Based on Long-Run Current Account Behavior," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 42(1), pages 33-49, February.

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