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Loss persistence and returns in the UK

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  • Wei Jiang
  • Nuno Soares
  • Andrew W. Stark

Abstract

In this study, we examine whether estimated loss reversal probabilities are fully reflected in UK stock market prices. Overall, we provide evidence of varying degrees and types of loss firm mispricing with respect to estimated loss reversal probabilities. In particular, a significant and positive relationship between loss reversal probability and annual returns is found only for firms with higher trading costs. When looking at monthly returns, however, especially for the financial statement release month subsequent to the loss year, a significant and positive relationship is found for all firms. Thus, the evidence is consistent with UK market participants not fully incorporating relevant information into the pricing of loss firms and, as a consequence, being surprised by the content of the earnings for many or all UK loss firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Jiang & Nuno Soares & Andrew W. Stark, 2016. "Loss persistence and returns in the UK," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 221-242, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:acctbr:v:46:y:2016:i:3:p:221-242
    DOI: 10.1080/00014788.2015.1048768
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    Cited by:

    1. Nguyet T. M. Nguyen & Abdullah Iqbal & Radha K. Shiwakoti, 2022. "The context of earnings management and its ability to predict future stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 123-169, July.
    2. Farinha, Jorge & Mateus, Cesario & Soares, Nuno, 2018. "Cash holdings and earnings quality: evidence from the Main and Alternative UK markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 238-252.
    3. Vassilios‐Christos Naoum & Georgios A. Papanastasopoulos, 2021. "The implications of cash flows for future earnings and stock returns within profit and loss firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2927-2945, April.
    4. Hai Wu, 2017. "Probability of loss reversal in Australia," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 42(4), pages 560-582, November.
    5. Dimos Andronoudis & Diogenis Baboukardos & Fanis Tsoligkas, 2024. "How the information content of integrated reporting flows into the stock market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 1057-1078, January.
    6. Kettunen, Jukka & Martikainen, Minna & Voulgaris, Georgios, 2021. "Employment policies in private loss firms: Return to profitability and the role of family CEOs," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 373-390.

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