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Ursachen des Rohölpreisanstiegs seit 2016
[On the Determinants of the Increase in Crude Oil Prices Since 2016]

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Grimme

    (ifo Institut - Leibniz-Inst. für Wirtschaftsforschung)

  • Jochen Güntner

    (Johannes Kepler Universitat)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung In den vergangenen anderthalb Jahren hat sich der Rohölpreis mehr als verdreifacht. Ein solcher Preisanstieg kann erhebliche negative Auswirkungen auf die Weltwirtschaft haben. Ob dies der Fall ist, hängt jedoch von den Ursachen des Ölpreisanstiegs ab. Es zeigt sich, dass die Rohölpreise hauptsächlich aufgrund der zunehmenden globalen realwirtschaftlichen Aktivität angestiegen sind. Nur zu einem geringen Teil lässt sich diese Entwicklung mit einen Rückgang der physischen Rohölversorgung erklären.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Grimme & Jochen Güntner, 2018. "Ursachen des Rohölpreisanstiegs seit 2016 [On the Determinants of the Increase in Crude Oil Prices Since 2016]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 98(8), pages 605-607, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:98:y:2018:i:8:d:10.1007_s10273-018-2338-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-018-2338-z
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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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