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Investigating a Suitable Empirical Model and Performing Regional Analysis for the Suspended Sediment Load Prediction in Major Rivers of the Aegean Region, Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Asli Ulke

    (Ondokuz Mayis University)

  • Gokmen Tayfur

    (Izmir Institute of Technology)

  • Sevinc Ozkul

    (Dokuz Eylul University)

Abstract

This study investigates the appropriateness of four major empirical methods [Lane and Kalinske, Einstein, Brooks, Chang—Simons—Richardson] for predicting suspended sediment loads (SSLs) in three major rivers in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The measured data from 1975 to 2005 were used to test performance of the models. It was found that Brooks method was more appropriate, among the others, for predicting suspended sediment loads from each river. The prediction results of Brooks method were further improved by the use of genetic algorithm (GA_Brooks) optimizing a fitting parameter and showing a comparable performance to those of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and neuro-fuzzy (ANFIS) models for the same rivers. GA_Brooks, ANNs, and ANFIS models can be used for predicting loads at a regional scale. The sensitivity analysis results revealed that suspended and bed material particle diameters affect suspended sediment loads significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Asli Ulke & Gokmen Tayfur & Sevinc Ozkul, 2017. "Investigating a Suitable Empirical Model and Performing Regional Analysis for the Suspended Sediment Load Prediction in Major Rivers of the Aegean Region, Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 739-764, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1357-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1357-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gokmen Tayfur & Vijay Singh, 2011. "Predicting Mean and Bankfull Discharge from Channel Cross-Sectional Area by Expert and Regression Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(5), pages 1253-1267, March.
    2. Vahid Nourani & Farhad Alizadeh & Kiyoumars Roushangar, 2016. "Evaluation of a Two-Stage SVM and Spatial Statistics Methods for Modeling Monthly River Suspended Sediment Load," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 393-407, January.
    3. Vahid Nourani & Farhad Alizadeh & Kiyoumars Roushangar, 2016. "Evaluation of a Two-Stage SVM and Spatial Statistics Methods for Modeling Monthly River Suspended Sediment Load," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 393-407, January.
    4. Aytac Guven & Özgür Kişi, 2011. "Estimation of Suspended Sediment Yield in Natural Rivers Using Machine-coded Linear Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(2), pages 691-704, January.
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