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Potential influence of land development patterns on regional climate: a summer case study in the Central Florida

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  • D. Shin
  • Guillermo Baigorria

Abstract

Two land development scenarios based on the Central Florida Regional Growth Vision projection for 2050 were used to explore the developments’ potential influence on regional climate. One scenario is a widespread suburban land development plan, and the other is a higher density urban development plan, both for the same location in central Florida. A series of simulation experiments were conducted using a regional climate model upgraded for this study to include an urban scheme. Noticeable differences in simulated regional climate patterns were found between the land development scenarios, which could potentially influence population requirements for energy and water. In our simulations, the aggregated effect of land cover changes over large suburban areas produced a more intense heat island effect than that produced by high-density urban areas. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • D. Shin & Guillermo Baigorria, 2012. "Potential influence of land development patterns on regional climate: a summer case study in the Central Florida," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(3), pages 877-885, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:62:y:2012:i:3:p:877-885
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0118-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Menglin Jin & J. Shepherd & Christa Peters-Lidard, 2007. "Development of a parameterization for simulating the urban temperature hazard using satellite observations in climate model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 43(2), pages 257-271, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ye, Bin & Jiang, Jingjing & Liu, Junguo & Zheng, Yi & Zhou, Nan, 2021. "Research on quantitative assessment of climate change risk at an urban scale: Review of recent progress and outlook of future direction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    2. Hiroyuki Kusaka & Asuka Suzuki-Parker & Toshinori Aoyagi & Sachiho A. Adachi & Yoshiki Yamagata, 2016. "Assessment of RCM and urban scenarios uncertainties in the climate projections for August in the 2050s in Tokyo," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 427-438, August.

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