IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v58y2011i3p1169-1192.html

Quantitative multi-risk analysis for natural hazards: a framework for multi-risk modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Jochen Schmidt

  • Iain Matcham
  • Stefan Reese
  • Andrew King
  • Rob Bell
  • Roddy Henderson
  • Graeme Smart
  • Jim Cousins
  • Warwick Smith
  • Dave Heron

Abstract

This paper introduces a generic framework for multi-risk modelling developed in the project ‘Regional RiskScape’ by the Research Organizations GNS Science and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd. (NIWA) in New Zealand. Our goal was to develop a generic technology for modelling risks from different natural hazards and for various elements at risk. The technical framework is not dependent on the specific nature of the individual hazard nor the vulnerability and the type of the individual assets. Based on this generic framework, a software prototype has been developed, which is capable of ‘plugging in’ various natural hazards and assets without reconfiguring or adapting the generic software framework. To achieve that, we developed a set of standards for treating the fundamental components of a risk model: hazards, assets (elements at risk) and vulnerability models (or fragility functions). Thus, the developed prototype system is able to accommodate any hazard, asset or fragility model, which is provided to the system according to that standard. The software prototype was tested by modelling earthquake, volcanic ashfall, flood, wind, and tsunami risks for several urban centres and small communities in New Zealand. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Jochen Schmidt & Iain Matcham & Stefan Reese & Andrew King & Rob Bell & Roddy Henderson & Graeme Smart & Jim Cousins & Warwick Smith & Dave Heron, 2011. "Quantitative multi-risk analysis for natural hazards: a framework for multi-risk modelling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(3), pages 1169-1192, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:58:y:2011:i:3:p:1169-1192
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9721-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-011-9721-z
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-011-9721-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Norman Ferrier & C. Haque, 2003. "Hazards Risk Assessment Methodology for Emergency Managers: A Standardized Framework for Application," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 28(2), pages 271-290, March.
    2. Russell Blong, 2003. "A New Damage Index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 30(1), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Ken Durham, 2003. "Treating the Risks in Cairns," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 30(2), pages 251-261, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Warner Marzocchi & Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal & Paolo Gasparini & Maria Mastellone & Angela Di Ruocco, 2012. "Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 551-573, June.
    2. O. Ionuş & M. Licurici & M. Pătroescu & S. Boengiu, 2015. "Assessment of flood-prone stripes within the Danube drainage area in the South-West Oltenia Development Region, Romania," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 69-88, February.
    3. Arna Nishita Nithila & Paromita Shome & Ishrat Islam, 2022. "Waterlogging induced loss and damage assessment of urban households in the monsoon period: a case study of Dhaka, Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 1565-1597, February.
    4. C. Emdad Haque & Mahed-Ul-Islam Choudhury & Md. Sowayib Sikder, 2019. "“Events and failures are our only means for making policy changes”: learning in disaster and emergency management policies in Manitoba, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(1), pages 137-162, August.
    5. Zhang, Fan & Fogarty, James, "undated". "Nonmarket Valuation of Water Sensitive Cities: Current Knowledge and Issues," Working Papers 207694, University of Western Australia, School of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    6. Costas Armenakis & N. Nirupama, 2013. "Prioritization of disaster risk in a community using GIS," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(1), pages 15-29, March.
    7. Isabel Seifert & Annegret Thieken & Mirjam Merz & Dietmar Borst & Ute Werner, 2010. "Estimation of industrial and commercial asset values for hazard risk assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 52(2), pages 453-479, February.
    8. Stylianos Providakis & Chris D. F. Rogers & David N. Chapman, 2020. "Assessing the Economic Risk of Building Damage due to the Tunneling-Induced Settlement Using Monte Carlo Simulations and BIM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-19, December.
    9. H. Apel & G. Aronica & H. Kreibich & A. Thieken, 2009. "Flood risk analyses—how detailed do we need to be?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 49(1), pages 79-98, April.
    10. Bo Fan, 2014. "Hybrid spatial data mining methods for site selection of emergency response centers," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 643-656, January.
    11. Syed Mudasir Gulzar & Faizan Ul Haq Mir & Muzamil Rafiqui & Manzoor A. Tantray, 2021. "Damage assessment of residential constructions in post-flood scenarios: a case of 2014 Kashmir floods," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 4201-4214, March.
    12. Archana Patankar & Anand Patwardhan, 2016. "Estimating the uninsured losses due to extreme weather events and implications for informal sector vulnerability: a case study of Mumbai, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 285-310, January.
    13. Archana Patankar & Anand Patwardhan, 2016. "Estimating the uninsured losses due to extreme weather events and implications for informal sector vulnerability: a case study of Mumbai, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 285-310, January.
    14. Tienan Feng & Zhonghua Hong & Hengjing Wu & Qiushi Fu & Chaoxin Wang & Chenghua Jiang & Xiaohua Tong, 2013. "Estimation of earthquake casualties using high-resolution remote sensing: a case study of Dujiangyan city in the May 2008 Wenchuan earthquake," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1577-1595, December.
    15. Mauro Niño & Miguel Jaimes & Eduardo Reinoso, 2015. "A risk index due to natural hazards based on the expected annual loss," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 215-236, October.
    16. Soohyun Kim & Dongkyun Kim & Jinwook Lee & Sayed M. Bateni & Waqas Ahmad & Jeongha Park, 2026. "A novel approach of mapping snow disaster-prone areas based on areal disaster density optimization: a case study of South Korea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 122(2), pages 1-26, January.
    17. Maurizio Tiepolo & Maurizio Rosso & Giovanni Massazza & Elena Belcore & Souradji Issa & Sarah Braccio, 2019. "Flood Assessment for Risk-Informed Planning along the Sirba River, Niger," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-18, July.
    18. Omid Asadi Nalivan & Ziaedin Badehian & Majid Sadeghinia & Adel Soltani & Iman Islami & Ali Boustan, 2022. "A step beyond susceptibility: an adaptation of risk framework for monetary risk estimation of gully erosion," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 1661-1684, March.
    19. Nguyen, Thi Phuoc Lai & Seddaiu, Giovanna & Virdis, Salvatore Gonario Pasquale & Tidore, Camillo & Pasqui, Massimiliano & Roggero, Pier Paolo, 2016. "Perceiving to learn or learning to perceive? Understanding farmers' perceptions and adaptation to climate uncertainties," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 205-216.
    20. Henrik Hassel, 2012. "Risk and vulnerability analysis in practice: evaluation of analyses conducted in Swedish municipalities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 605-628, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:58:y:2011:i:3:p:1169-1192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.