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Forecasting groundwater level fluctuations for rainfall-induced landslide

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  • Yao-Ming Hong
  • Shiuan Wan

Abstract

Groundwater plays a critical and important role in many landslides. Heavy precipitation can raise the groundwater level within a hillslope and lead to instability. The purpose of this paper is to present a model by means of continuity equation to predict groundwater level fluctuations in hillslope in response to hourly precipitation rates. The linear reservoir method is employed to describe the travel time distribution of infiltration, and Darcy’s law is then used to establish the groundwater flux rate of control volume. The governing equation shows that the changing rate of groundwater level fluctuation can be interpreted by two new defined variables (Sink Number and Rise Number) in this study. The application of the model is demonstrated using the rainfall-induced landslide at Lu-Shan, Nantou County, Taiwan. Data from one storm event are used to calibrate the model and estimate parameters by using the heuristic algorithm. Post-storm rainfall data from another storm event are employed to verify the calibrated parameters. The contribution of this study shows that a small Sink Number results in a fast recession and a large Rise Number yields a fast rise of groundwater level. This method may be practical to have better understanding on the rainfall-induced landslide. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Yao-Ming Hong & Shiuan Wan, 2011. "Forecasting groundwater level fluctuations for rainfall-induced landslide," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 57(2), pages 167-184, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:57:y:2011:i:2:p:167-184
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-010-9603-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paola Gattinoni, 2009. "Parametrical landslide modeling for the hydrogeological susceptibility assessment: from the Crati Valley to the Cavallerizzo landslide (Southern Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 50(1), pages 161-178, July.
    2. Ram Ray & Jennifer Jacobs, 2007. "Relationships among remotely sensed soil moisture, precipitation and landslide events," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 43(2), pages 211-222, November.
    3. Ricardo Trigo & José L. Zêzere & Maria Rodrigues & Isabel Trigo, 2005. "The Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Rainfall Triggering of Landslides near Lisbon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 36(3), pages 331-354, November.
    4. R. Abbasov & R. Mahmudov, 2009. "Analysis of non climatic origins of floods in the downstream part of the Kura River, Azerbaijan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 50(2), pages 235-248, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Constantinos Nefros & Dimitrios S. Tsagkas & Gianna Kitsara & Constantinos Loupasakis & Christos Giannakopoulos, 2023. "Landslide Susceptibility Mapping under the Climate Change Impact in the Chania Regional Unit, West Crete, Greece," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, January.
    2. Paola Gattinoni & Laura Scesi, 2013. "Lanslide hydrogeological susceptibility of Maierato (Vibo Valentia, Southern Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 629-648, March.

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