Author
Listed:
- Ivana Čavlina Tomašević
(Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service)
- Paul Fox-Hughes
(Bureau of Meteorology)
- Kevin K. W. Cheung
(Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)
- Paul J. Beggs
(Macquarie University)
- Višnjica Vučetić
(Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service)
- Jon Marsden-Smedley
- Maja Telišman Prtenjak
(University of Zagreb)
Abstract
A major bushfire occurred during January 2013 near the towns Forcett and Dunalley in southeast Tasmania, Australia. Several records were broken by this wildfire, in terms of impacts to eco-systems, infrastructure and lives, and it was the first pyrocumulonimbus documented in Tasmania. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology high-resolution regional reanalysis for Tasmania (BARRA-TA), with 1.5-km spatial resolution, together with in-situ observations, was applied to reconstruct the wildfire event. The antecedent climatic conditions in Tasmania included a large increase in fuel load due to abundant rain one to two years before the event, followed by a heatwave during the summer of 2012/13. In the three periods we identified during the event reconstruction, the second period was the most dramatic, in which a low-level jet was directed downslope in southeast Tasmania to accelerate the fire spread. The BARRA-TA reanalysis revealed the mesoscale features occurring during the fire event additional to the climatic conditions and synoptic patterns documented in past studies. These include a cold front that crossed the fireground during the third period, and thus played a different role compared with some past extreme fire events in terms of airmass lifting and wind direction change. Moreover, mid-level moisture advected into the area was conducive to pyroconvection development.
Suggested Citation
Ivana Čavlina Tomašević & Paul Fox-Hughes & Kevin K. W. Cheung & Paul J. Beggs & Višnjica Vučetić & Jon Marsden-Smedley & Maja Telišman Prtenjak, 2025.
"Meteorological analysis of an extreme pyroconvective wildfire at Dunalley-Forcett, Australia,"
Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(9), pages 10843-10875, May.
Handle:
RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:9:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07222-2
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07222-2
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