IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v103y2020i2d10.1007_s11069-020-04084-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment of microscale economic flood losses in urban and agricultural areas: case study of the Santa Bárbara River, Ecuador

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Pinos

    (Universidad de Cuenca)

  • Daniel Orellana

    (Universidad de Cuenca
    Universidad de Cuenca)

  • Luis Timbe

    (Universidad de Cuenca)

Abstract

To reduce and prevent significant economic flood losses, reliable tools are required to estimate potential river inundation effects. This paper focuses on the estimation of direct damages caused by flooding with different return periods in urban and agricultural areas. A univariable deterministic flood loss model was developed to estimate potential damages, based on water depth. This approach involved assessing the mapping of local flood risks based on the combination of historical inundation marks, land-use and economic data. The primary objective of this study is to determine whether it is possible to use accessible data at the municipality level to assess economic flood losses. For the Santa Bárbara River case study, the results reveal that the greatest proportion of damages (approximately 99%) is expected to occur in the urban area. In addition, results showed that the approach is useful for identifying and mapping flooded areas with critical damage. The proposed methodology can be applied to microscale analysis, thereby providing quantitative results for flood risk assessment, the outcomes of which could assist local decision-makers in the prioritization of critical risk areas, and the development of mitigation options and countermeasures. As such, this is the first study to propose and provide an open-access methodology for quantifying flood losses in the inter-Andean region of Ecuador.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Pinos & Daniel Orellana & Luis Timbe, 2020. "Assessment of microscale economic flood losses in urban and agricultural areas: case study of the Santa Bárbara River, Ecuador," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2323-2337, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04084-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04084-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-04084-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-04084-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. H. Glas & M. Jonckheere & A. Mandal & S. James-Williamson & P. Maeyer & G. Deruyter, 2017. "A GIS-based tool for flood damage assessment and delineation of a methodology for future risk assessment: case study for Annotto Bay, Jamaica," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(3), pages 1867-1891, September.
    2. Heidi Kreibich & Anna Botto & Bruno Merz & Kai Schröter, 2017. "Probabilistic, Multivariable Flood Loss Modeling on the Mesoscale with BT‐FLEMO," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 774-787, April.
    3. H. Moel & J. Aerts, 2011. "Effect of uncertainty in land use, damage models and inundation depth on flood damage estimates," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 407-425, July.
    4. B. Winter & K. Schneeberger & M. Huttenlau & J. Stötter, 2018. "Sources of uncertainty in a probabilistic flood risk model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(2), pages 431-446, March.
    5. Anthi-Eirini Vozinaki & George Karatzas & Ioannis Sibetheros & Emmanouil Varouchakis, 2015. "An agricultural flash flood loss estimation methodology: the case study of the Koiliaris basin (Greece), February 2003 flood," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(2), pages 899-920, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tugkan Tanir & Andre de Souza de Lima & Gustavo A. Coelho & Sukru Uzun & Felicio Cassalho & Celso M. Ferreira, 2021. "Assessing the spatiotemporal socioeconomic flood vulnerability of agricultural communities in the Potomac River Watershed," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 225-251, August.
    2. Cascade Tuholske & Andrea E. Gaughan & Alessandro Sorichetta & Alex de Sherbinin & Agathe Bucherie & Carolynne Hultquist & Forrest Stevens & Andrew Kruczkiewicz & Charles Huyck & Greg Yetman, 2021. "Implications for Tracking SDG Indicator Metrics with Gridded Population Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-21, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mohamed Kefi & Binaya Kumar Mishra & Yoshifumi Masago & Kensuke Fukushi, 2020. "Analysis of flood damage and influencing factors in urban catchments: case studies in Manila, Philippines, and Jakarta, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2461-2487, December.
    2. Alexander J. Miller & Mauricio E. Arias & Sergio Alvarez, 2021. "Built environment and agricultural value at risk from Hurricane Irma flooding in Florida (USA)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1327-1348, November.
    3. Tugkan Tanir & Andre de Souza de Lima & Gustavo A. Coelho & Sukru Uzun & Felicio Cassalho & Celso M. Ferreira, 2021. "Assessing the spatiotemporal socioeconomic flood vulnerability of agricultural communities in the Potomac River Watershed," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 225-251, August.
    4. Neslihan Beden & Asli Ulke Keskin, 2021. "Estimation of the local financial costs of flood damage with different methodologies in Unye (Ordu), Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(3), pages 2835-2854, September.
    5. Quoc Bao Pham & Sk Ajim Ali & Elzbieta Bielecka & Beata Calka & Agata Orych & Farhana Parvin & Ewa Łupikasza, 2022. "Flood vulnerability and buildings’ flood exposure assessment in a densely urbanised city: comparative analysis of three scenarios using a neural network approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(2), pages 1043-1081, September.
    6. Weijiang Li & Jiahong Wen & Bo Xu & Xiande Li & Shiqiang Du, 2018. "Integrated Assessment of Economic Losses in Manufacturing Industry in Shanghai Metropolitan Area Under an Extreme Storm Flood Scenario," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    7. Thomas D. Pol & Ekko C. Ierland & Silke Gabbert, 2017. "Economic analysis of adaptive strategies for flood risk management under climate change," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 267-285, February.
    8. Ruben Prütz & Peter Månsson, 2021. "A GIS-based approach to compare economic damages of fluvial flooding in the Neckar River basin under current conditions and future scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1807-1834, September.
    9. Yus Budiyono & Jeroen Aerts & JanJaap Brinkman & Muh Marfai & Philip Ward, 2015. "Flood risk assessment for delta mega-cities: a case study of Jakarta," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 389-413, January.
    10. T. D. Pol & S. Gabbert & H.-P. Weikard & E. C. Ierland & E. M. T. Hendrix, 2017. "A Minimax Regret Analysis of Flood Risk Management Strategies Under Climate Change Uncertainty and Emerging Information," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(4), pages 1087-1109, December.
    11. Aishwarya Narendr & S. Vinay & Bharath Haridas Aithal & Sutapa Das, 2022. "Multi-dimensional parametric coastal flood risk assessment at a regional scale using GIS," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(7), pages 9569-9597, July.
    12. Anna Rita Scorzini & Maurizio Leopardi, 2017. "River basin planning: from qualitative to quantitative flood risk assessment: the case of Abruzzo Region (central Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 71-93, August.
    13. Lorenzo Carrera & Gabriele Standardi & Francesco Bosello & Jaroslav Mysiak, 2014. "Assessing Direct and Indirect Economic Impacts of a Flood Event Through the Integration of Spatial and Computable General Equilibrium Modelling," Working Papers 2014.82, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    14. Chaowei Xu & Hao Fu & Jiashuai Yang & Lingyue Wang, 2022. "Assessment of the Relationship between Land Use and Flood Risk Based on a Coupled Hydrological–Hydraulic Model: A Case Study of Zhaojue River Basin in Southwestern China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-24, July.
    15. J. Oliver & X. S. Qin & O. Larsen & M. Meadows & M. Fielding, 2018. "Probabilistic flood risk analysis considering morphological dynamics and dike failure," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(1), pages 287-307, March.
    16. Holger Cammerer & Annegret Thieken & Peter Verburg, 2013. "Spatio-temporal dynamics in the flood exposure due to land use changes in the Alpine Lech Valley in Tyrol (Austria)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(3), pages 1243-1270, September.
    17. Yu Duan & Junnan Xiong & Weiming Cheng & Nan Wang & Yi Li & Yufeng He & Jun Liu & Wen He & Gang Yang, 2022. "Flood vulnerability assessment using the triangular fuzzy number-based analytic hierarchy process and support vector machine model for the Belt and Road region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 269-294, January.
    18. B. Winter & K. Schneeberger & M. Huttenlau & J. Stötter, 2018. "Sources of uncertainty in a probabilistic flood risk model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(2), pages 431-446, March.
    19. Xi Wang & Zhanyan Liu & Huili Chen, 2022. "Investigating Flood Impact on Crop Production under a Comprehensive and Spatially Explicit Risk Evaluation Framework," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, March.
    20. Mahkameh Zarekarizi & Vivek Srikrishnan & Klaus Keller, 2020. "Neglecting Uncertainties Biases House-Elevation Decisions to Manage Riverine Flood Risks," Papers 2001.06457, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04084-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.