IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/metcap/v5y2003i3d10.1023_a1026287204089.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multirisks Model and Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe Picard

    (Université de Lyon 1)

  • Claude Lefèvre

    (Université Libre de Bruxelles)

  • Ibrahim Coulibaly

    (Université Libre de Bruxelles)

Abstract

A multirisks model is constructed that describes the evolution in discrete-time of an insurance portfolio covering several interdependent risks. The main problem under study is the determination of the probabilities of ruin over a finite horizon, for one or more risks. An underlying polynomial structure in the expression of these probabilities is exhibited. This result is then used to provide a simple recursive method for their numerical evaluation. Furthermore, it is shown qualitatively that a stronger positive-type dependence between the risks increases the non-ruin probabilities. Some illustrations enhance the efficiency, in time and precision, of the developed algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Picard & Claude Lefèvre & Ibrahim Coulibaly, 2003. "Multirisks Model and Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 337-353, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:5:y:2003:i:3:d:10.1023_a:1026287204089
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1026287204089
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1023/A:1026287204089
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1023/A:1026287204089?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karlin, Samuel & Rinott, Yosef, 1980. "Classes of orderings of measures and related correlation inequalities. I. Multivariate totally positive distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 467-498, December.
    2. Partrat, Christian, 1994. "Compound model for two dependent kinds of claim," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2-3), pages 219-231, December.
    3. Sundt, Bjørn, 1999. "On Multivariate Panjer Recursions," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 29-45, May.
    4. Vernic, Raluca, 1999. "Recursive Evaluation of Some Bivariate Compound Distributions," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(2), pages 315-325, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. G. A. Delsing & M. R. H. Mandjes & P. J. C. Spreij & E. M. M. Winands, 2020. "Asymptotics and Approximations of Ruin Probabilities for Multivariate Risk Processes in a Markovian Environment," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 927-948, September.
    2. Michel Denuit & Esther Frostig & Benny Levikson, 2007. "Supermodular Comparison of Time-to-Ruin Random Vectors," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 41-54, March.
    3. Xiaohu Li & Jintang Wu & Jinsen Zhuang, 2015. "Asymptotic Multivariate Finite-time Ruin Probability with Statistically Dependent Heavy-tailed Claims," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 463-477, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paul Embrechts & Marco Frei, 2009. "Panjer recursion versus FFT for compound distributions," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 69(3), pages 497-508, July.
    2. Eisele, Karl-Theodor, 2008. "Recursions for multivariate compound phase variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 65-72, February.
    3. Yuki Itoh, 2009. "Recovery Process Model for Two Companies," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 16(4), pages 287-331, December.
    4. Sundt, Bjorn, 2002. "Recursive evaluation of aggregate claims distributions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 297-322, June.
    5. Pierre-Olivier Goffard & Stéphane Loisel & Denys Pommeret, 2017. "Polynomial Approximations for Bivariate Aggregate Claims Amount Probability Distributions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 151-174, March.
    6. Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2010. "Calculation of aggregate loss distributions," Papers 1008.1108, arXiv.org.
    7. Khaledi, Baha-Eldin & Shaked, Moshe, 2010. "Stochastic comparisons of multivariate mixtures," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(10), pages 2486-2498, November.
    8. Colangelo Antonio, 2005. "Multivariate hazard orderings of discrete random vectors," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf05010, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
    9. Yip, Karen C.H. & Yau, Kelvin K.W., 2005. "On modeling claim frequency data in general insurance with extra zeros," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 153-163, April.
    10. Chi, Chang Koo & Murto, Pauli & Valimaki, Juuso, 2017. "All-Pay Auctions with Affiliated Values," MPRA Paper 80799, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Castañer, A. & Claramunt, M.M. & Lefèvre, C., 2013. "Survival probabilities in bivariate risk models, with application to reinsurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 632-642.
    12. Arnaud Costinot & Jonathan Vogel, 2010. "Matching and Inequality in the World Economy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 118(4), pages 747-786, August.
    13. Rinott, Yosef & Scarsini, Marco, 2006. "Total positivity order and the normal distribution," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(5), pages 1251-1261, May.
    14. Ivanovs, Jevgenijs & Boxma, Onno, 2015. "A bivariate risk model with mutual deficit coverage," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 126-134.
    15. repec:dau:papers:123456789/698 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Vikram Krishnamurthy & Udit Pareek, 2015. "Myopic Bounds for Optimal Policy of POMDPs: An Extension of Lovejoy’s Structural Results," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 63(2), pages 428-434, April.
    17. Ilse Lindenlaub & Fabien Postel-Vinay, 2023. "Multidimensional Sorting under Random Search," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(12), pages 3497-3539.
    18. Gathy, Maude & Lefèvre, Claude, 2010. "On the Lagrangian Katz family of distributions as a claim frequency model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 76-83, August.
    19. Baha-Eldin Khaledi & Subhash Kochar, 2001. "Dependence Properties of Multivariate Mixture Distributions and Their Applications," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 53(3), pages 620-630, September.
    20. Müller, Alfred & Scarsini, Marco, 2005. "Archimedean copulæ and positive dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 434-445, April.
    21. Arnaud Costinot, 2009. "An Elementary Theory of Comparative Advantage," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1165-1192, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:5:y:2003:i:3:d:10.1023_a:1026287204089. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.