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Extending the Study of Continuity and Change: Gender Differences in the Linkage Between Adolescent and Adult Offending

Author

Listed:
  • Alex R. Piquero

    (University of Florida, Department of Criminology, Law and Society)

  • Robert Brame

    (University of South Carolina, Department of Criminology and Criminal Justice)

  • Terrie E. Moffitt

    (University of Wisconsin, Kings College London, Department of Psychology, Institute of Psychiarty)

Abstract

Recently, Paternoster et al. used data from the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development, a longitudinal study of 411 South London boys mostly born in 1953, to investigate the linkage between adolescent and adult offending and found that variations in adult offending were consistent with a random process after conditioning on adolescent offending. In this paper, we test the robustness of this early study across data sources and genders. Here, we use data from the Dunedin New Zealand 1972 birth cohort study to replicate previous findings regarding stability and change in criminal offending between the adolescent and adult years. In particular, our interest centers on the stochastic properties of the adolescent and adult conviction distribution in the cohort and whether the structure of this distribution is similar for males and females. This replication and extension of prior work is especially important since criminologists have little understanding of the pattern of female adolescent offending or how the patterns are linked to adult offending for women. The analysis reveals that variation in adult offending after conditioning on adolescent offending is consistent with a random (Poisson) process. Furthermore, this pattern is evident for both the males and the females in the Dunedin New Zealand 1972 birth cohort.

Suggested Citation

  • Alex R. Piquero & Robert Brame & Terrie E. Moffitt, 2005. "Extending the Study of Continuity and Change: Gender Differences in the Linkage Between Adolescent and Adult Offending," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 219-243, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joqcri:v:21:y:2005:i:2:d:10.1007_s10940-005-2494-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10940-005-2494-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raymond Paternoster & Robert Brame & David P. Farrington, 2001. "On the Relationship Between Adolescent and Adult Conviction Frequencies," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 201-205, September.
    2. Amy V. D'Unger & Kenneth C. Land & Patricia L. McCall, 2002. "Sex Differences in Age Patterns of Delinquent/Criminal Careers: Results from Poisson Latent Class Analyses of the Philadelphia Cohort Study," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 349-375, December.
    3. Piquero, Alex R. & Buka, Stephen L., 2002. "Linking juvenile and adult patterns of criminal activity in the Providence cohort of the National Collaborative Perinatal Project," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 259-272.
    4. Daniel Nagin & Raymond Paternoster, 2000. "Population Heterogeneity and State Dependence: State of the Evidence and Directions for Future Research," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 117-144, June.
    5. Alex R. Piquero & John M. MacDonald & Karen F. Parker, 2002. "Race, Local Life Circumstances, and Criminal Activity," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 83(3), pages 654-670, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Siyu Liu, 2015. "Is the Shape of the Age-Crime Curve Invariant by Sex? Evidence from a National Sample with Flexible Non-parametric Modeling," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 93-123, March.
    2. Cathy Spatz Widom & Jacqueline Horan Fisher & Daniel S. Nagin & Alex R. Piquero, 2018. "A Prospective Examination of Criminal Career Trajectories in Abused and Neglected Males and Females Followed Up into Middle Adulthood," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 831-852, September.

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