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Climate change, adaptation, and economic outcomes in rice farming: empirical findings from Myanmar’s Delta region

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  • Aye Mon Mon Kyaw

    (Seoul National University)

  • Brian H. S. Kim

    (Seoul National University)

Abstract

Climate change poses significant threats to agriculture, particularly in regions that heavily rely on farming for economic stability and food security. This study examines the economic impact of climate change on net revenue in the Delta region, a critical area for Myanmar’s rice production. Using the Ricardian approach, the research analyzes the sensitivity of net revenue to changes in seasonal temperature and rainfall, utilizing primary data from 1115 major rice farmers. The findings reveal that climate change has a significant influence on net revenue, with strong negative impacts and limited positive effects in the study area. Based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) climate projection scenarios, the study projects that future climate change will further reduce net revenue. These empirical results highlight the critical need for adaptive strategies, risk management practices, and forward-looking policies to enhance resilience against climate risks at both the farm and policy levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Aye Mon Mon Kyaw & Brian H. S. Kim, 2025. "Climate change, adaptation, and economic outcomes in rice farming: empirical findings from Myanmar’s Delta region," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:agfoec:v:13:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1186_s40100-025-00414-1
    DOI: 10.1186/s40100-025-00414-1
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