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Kamu Harcamalarının Bileşimi Ekonomik Büyümeyi Etkiler Mi? Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin Bir Analiz

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  • Deniz AYTAÇ
  • Mehmet Cahit GÜRAN

Abstract

In this study, the relationship between the economic classification of public expenditure and economic growth in Turkey is examined by taking into consideration of the structural break and by causality and vector autoregression (VAR) analysis for the period 1987-2005. When the structural break is included into vector autoregressive model as a dummy variable, the results of the Granger causality test show that there is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to current expenditure and total expenditure. Furthermore, causality relationship is not found running from economic growth to transfer and investment expenditure. Additionally, impulse-response and variance decomposition analysis support the causality relation. As a result, in the period studied for Turkey, it is concluded that an increase in economic growth would lead to an increase in public expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • Deniz AYTAÇ & Mehmet Cahit GÜRAN, 2010. "Kamu Harcamalarının Bileşimi Ekonomik Büyümeyi Etkiler Mi? Türkiye Ekonomisi İçin Bir Analiz," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 2010-2.
    • Handle: RePEc:sos:sosjrn:100207
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    Keywords

    Composition of Government Expenditures; Economic Growth; Structural Break; Granger Causality; VAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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