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Determinants of Educational Lag in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Fastlicht Perelman

    (Bank of Mexico)

Abstract

This study focuses on the determinants of educational lag among children in Mexico, with a particular emphasis on households headed by working single mothers. Drawing on the 2022 ENIGH dataset and a multidimensional framework, the research integrates econometric methods (LASSO and probit) with machine learning (SVM) to estimate the probability of educational lag. Results show that age, maternal education, and household deprivations significantly increase the likelihood of educational lag. Conversely, speaking an Indigenous language and maternal employment are associated with reduced probability. While the probit and LASSO models effectively identify at-risk individuals, the SVM model offers high specificity, but underestimates positive cases. Findings highlight the importance of gender-sensitive policies and structural support for single-mother households to mitigate educational disparities and break intergenerational cycles of poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Fastlicht Perelman, 2025. "Determinants of Educational Lag in Mexico," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 1(12), pages 146-181.
    • Handle: RePEc:smx:journl:12:146:181
    as

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    File URL: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/index.php/Revista_Sobre_Mexico/article/view/172
    File Function: First version, 2025
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David J. Deming, 2022. "Four Facts about Human Capital," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 75-102, Summer.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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