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Foreign Direct Investment and Agricultural Growth: Panel Data Evidence on Chinese FDI Inflows in African Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Ademuyiwa A Lawal

    (Department of Economics and Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China.)

  • Huang Xijuang

    (Department of Economics and Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China.)

  • Ukasha Zololo

    (Department of Economics and Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China.)

Abstract

This study examined the impact of Chinese foreign direct investment (CFDI) on the annual growth rate (AGR) of agricultural value added in Africa and analyzed the correlation between AGR and employment in the agriculture sector (EIA) from 2003 to 2021. The study employed annual panel data from 15 African countries obtained from authoritative databases such as the World Development Indicators. To guarantee the dependability of the results, the research carried out several preparatory tests, such as crosssectional dependency, unit root, and cointegration tests. The tests validated that the variables satisfied the requisite criteria for utilizing panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimation techniques, such as mean group (MG), pooled MG (PMG), and dynamic fixed effect (DFE). The Hausman test validated the PMG model as the most appropriate for the estimations among the various techniques. The empirical results obtained using the PMG model provided fascinating insights. Evidence demonstrated that CFDI inflows had a favorable and statistically significant impact on the growth rate of agricultural value added in Africa. These findings suggest that Chinese investments have a positive impact on the agriculture sector in Africa. As the economy expands, it creates a favorable atmosphere for the agriculture sector to flourish. Moreover, the presence of EIA is vital in improving Africa’s agricultural growth rate. Based on these discoveries, policymakers can create a supportive atmosphere for the long-term and comprehensive growth of agriculture in Africa. The study’s findings have significant consequences for academic research, educational discourse, and socioeconomic legislation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ademuyiwa A Lawal & Huang Xijuang & Ukasha Zololo, 2025. "Foreign Direct Investment and Agricultural Growth: Panel Data Evidence on Chinese FDI Inflows in African Countries," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 22(1), pages 37-56, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sag:seajad:v:22:y:2025:i:1:p:37-56
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    PMG; panel ARDL; Chinese FDI; African agriculture;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development

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