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Does Local Representation Reduce Self-Determination Conflict?

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  • Alejandro Corvalan

Abstract

There is ample evidence that the political exclusion of minorities from state power increases the risk of conflict. Nevertheless, do these same results apply to local representation? I explore this question using the success in mayoral elections of the Chilean Mapuche, a deprived indigenous minority in a longstanding conflict against the Chilean state. Combining a novel database on conflict and a surname strategy to single out Mapuche mayors, panel evidence suggests a negative association between minority mayors and local self-determination conflict. To provide identification, I exploit an electoral reform that exogenously changes the candidates’ probability of being elected. Land invasions, a primary type of conflict strategy for ethnic minorities, significantly decreased after the election of Mapuche mayors. I discuss the role of local horizontal inequalities and coercion as possible mechanisms.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Corvalan, 2025. "Does Local Representation Reduce Self-Determination Conflict?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 69(7-8), pages 1433-1460, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:69:y:2025:i:7-8:p:1433-1460
    DOI: 10.1177/00220027241299815
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Isaiah Andrews & James H. Stock & Liyang Sun, 2019. "Weak Instruments in Instrumental Variables Regression: Theory and Practice," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 727-753, August.
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