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Trend Analysis of Satellite Global Temperature Data

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  • Craig Loehle

    (National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc)

Abstract

Global satellite data is analyzed for temperature trends for the period January 1979 through June 2009. Beginning and ending segments show a cooling trend, while the middle segment evinces a warming trend. The past 12 to 13 years show cooling using both satellite data sets, with lower confidence limits that do not exclude a negative trend until 16 years. It is shown that several published studies have predicted cooling in this time frame. One of these models is extrapolated from its 2000 calibration end date and shows a good match to the satellite data, with a projection of continued cooling for several more decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig Loehle, 2009. "Trend Analysis of Satellite Global Temperature Data," Energy & Environment, , vol. 20(7), pages 1087-1098, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:20:y:2009:i:7:p:1087-1098
    DOI: 10.1260/095830509789876808
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. N. S. Keenlyside & M. Latif & J. Jungclaus & L. Kornblueh & E. Roeckner, 2008. "Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7191), pages 84-88, May.
    2. Richard Wood, 2008. "Natural ups and downs," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7191), pages 43-45, May.
    3. Qiang Fu & Celeste M. Johanson & Stephen G. Warren & Dian J. Seidel, 2004. "Contribution of stratospheric cooling to satellite-inferred tropospheric temperature trends," Nature, Nature, vol. 429(6987), pages 55-58, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2015. "Linear and segmented trends in sea surface temperature data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(7), pages 1531-1546, July.

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