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Are Sovereign Credit Ratings Pro-Cyclical? A Controversial Issue Revisited in Light of the Current Financial Crisis Abstract: With the present work I aim to shed new light on the debate on possible pro-cyclicality of the foreign sovereign credit ratings issued by credit rating agencies (CRAs), considering their behavior in the current financial crisis. I find that the assumption of a pro-cyclical behavior of CRAs appears to be groundless when referring to the period 2001-2011. Actually, even though the ratings issued throughout the pre-crisis period (2001-2006) are generally higher than the predicted ones, there is no evidence of CRAs assigning unduly worse ratings during the years of the crisis (2007-2011)

Author

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  • Paolo Giacomino

    (Rome University 'Tor Vergata')

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Giacomino, 2013. "Are Sovereign Credit Ratings Pro-Cyclical? A Controversial Issue Revisited in Light of the Current Financial Crisis Abstract: With the present work I aim to shed new light on the debate on possible pr," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, issue 4, pages 79-111, October-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:y:2013:i:4:p:79-111
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit ratings; rating agencies; pro-cyclicality; sovereign debt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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