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Methodological Framework and Simulations for Evaluating the Impact of EU Enlargement on the Italian Economy


  • Rossella Bardazzi

    () (Università di Firenze)

  • Maurizio Grassini

    () (Università di Firenze)


The impact of EU Eastern enlargement on a Member State, i.e. Italy, has been analysed with a very advanced methodological approach. The research has been carried on with a system of models including several multisectoral country models and a bilateral trade model which “truly” links the system. The most original contribution of this paper is to show that indirect effects from the impact of enlargement on the EU Member States and the other countries in the system may be much more relevant than the direct effects usually considered by using a “stand alone model”. Moreover, our multisectoral approach gives evidence of “losers” and “winners” among the sectors of the Italian economy after the Enlargement.

Suggested Citation

  • Rossella Bardazzi & Maurizio Grassini, 2003. "Methodological Framework and Simulations for Evaluating the Impact of EU Enlargement on the Italian Economy," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 93(2), pages 31-78, March-Apr.
  • Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:93:y:2003:i:2:p:31-78

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 1991. "Quality Ladders in the Theory of Growth," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(1), pages 43-61.
    2. Elias Dinopoulos & Peter Thompson, 1999. "Scale effects in Schumpeterian models of economic growth," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 157-185.
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    5. Backus, David K. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & Kehoe, Timothy J., 1992. "In search of scale effects in trade and growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 377-409, December.
    6. Peretto, Pietro F, 1998. "Technological Change and Population Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 283-311, December.
    7. Alwyn Young, 1998. "Growth without Scale Effects," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(1), pages 41-63, February.
    8. Segerstrom, Paul S, 1998. "Endogenous Growth without Scale Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(5), pages 1290-1310, December.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications


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