IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rom/rampas/v2022y2022i38p70-89.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How To Shape Government Policies On High-Technology Development Using The Indicative Evaluation Of Risks?

Author

Listed:
  • Alexey BARABASHEV

    (Professor, Department of Politics and Governance, National Research University, Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000)

  • Ivan MAKAROV

    (Research Assistant, Institute of Governance, National Research University, Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000)

  • Sergei ZAROCHINTCEV

    (PhD Student, Department of Politics and Governance, National Research University, Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000)

Abstract

The international country-level indices of high-technology development were examined, and the indices that meet the criteria of sufficiently wide coverage of states and presence of measurement history over several years were selected. The stable group of basic (non-duplicating) indices characterizing high-technology development level and risks for national states was identified using the principal component analysis method. The rankings of states based on the basic indices of high-technology development built for the years 2014 and 2016 were studied. A proposal has been put forward to consider stepwise risk corridors of high-technology development as conventions that establish acceptable risk boundaries. An «acceptable corridor of high-technology risks» with boundaries of 10%-90% (decile of 10%) has been built. There have been identified two groups of states outside this corridor for which the risks of high-technology development turn into threats: «leading states» above the corridor, which are characterized by the excessively rapid development of high technologies associated with high risks due to excessive user confidence in the reliability of such technologies and the gaps in the development of security measures and regulation in this area; and «outsider states» below the corridor, characterized by the excessively slow development of high technologies, which leads to vulnerability to threats of high-technology development and to the appearance of a chronic lag in these areas. The location of Romania in this corridor was considered an example of assessing the state risks of high-technology development using the constructed risk corridor. For Romania, the value of the basic hightechnology indices is located near the center of the risk corridor. Thus, the high-technology development in Romania from 2014-to 2016 took place at an average pace, but also without significant risks. This position leaves Romania a significant space for the relatively safe acceleration of high-technology development.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey BARABASHEV & Ivan MAKAROV & Sergei ZAROCHINTCEV, 2022. "How To Shape Government Policies On High-Technology Development Using The Indicative Evaluation Of Risks?," REVISTA ADMINISTRATIE SI MANAGEMENT PUBLIC, Faculty of Administration and Public Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 2022(38), pages 70-89.
    • Handle: RePEc:rom:rampas:v:2022:y:2022:i:38:p:70-89
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ramp.ase.ro/vol38/38-04.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stepan Zemtsov, 2020. "New technologies, potential unemployment and ‘nescience economy’ during and after the 2020 economic crisis," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 723-743, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Iva Gregurec & Martina Tomičić Furjan & Katarina Tomičić-Pupek, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Sustainable Business Models in SMEs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-24, January.
    2. Marc Audi & Amjad Ali, 2023. "Public Policy and Economic Misery Nexus: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing World," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 56-73, May.
    3. Oğuz Başol & Hüseyin Sevgi & Esin Cumhur Yalçın, 2023. "The Effect of Digitalization on Youth Unemployment for EU Countries: Treat or Threat?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-15, July.
    4. Wadim Strielkowski & Svetlana Kalyugina & Victor Fursov & Oxana Mukhoryanova, 2023. "Improving the System of Indicators for Assessing the Effectiveness of Modern Regional Innovation Systems," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, September.
    5. Vera Barinova & Sylvie Rochhia & Stepan Zemtsov, 2022. "Attracting highly skilled migrants to the Russian regions," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 147-173, February.
    6. Zemtsov, S., 2021. "New technologies and regional development in the modern period," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 196-207.
    7. Gábor Szabó-Szentgróti & Bence Végvári & József Varga, 2021. "Impact of Industry 4.0 and Digitization on Labor Market for 2030-Verification of Keynes’ Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
    8. Matheus Fernando Moro & Anny Key Souza Mendonça & Dalton Francisco Andrade, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic accelerates the perception of digital transformation on real estate websites," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2165-2181, June.
    9. M. E. Baskakova & V. N. Baskakov & E. A. Yanenko, 2022. "Medium-Term Forecast of Government Spending on the Unemployment Social Protection System in Russia in the Conditions of Economic Recession," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 45-54, February.
    10. Xu Chen & Chunhong Liu & Changchun Gao & Yao Jiang, 2021. "Mechanism Underlying the Formation of Virtual Agglomeration of Creative Industries: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Research," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-21, February.
    11. Elena-Sabina Turnea & Ștefan Andrei Neștian & Silviu Mihail Tiță & Ana Iolanda Vodă & Alexandra Luciana Guță, 2020. "Dismissals and Temporary Leaves in Romanian Companies in the Context of Low Demand and Cash Flow Problems during the COVID-19 Economic Lockdown," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-22, October.
    12. Grybauskas, Andrius & Stefanini, Alessandro & Ghobakhloo, Morteza, 2022. "Social sustainability in the age of digitalization: A systematic literature Review on the social implications of industry 4.0," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rom:rampas:v:2022:y:2022:i:38:p:70-89. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Androniceanu Armenia (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ccasero.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.