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Integration and Trade Specialization in Central and Eastern European Countries: Towards A New Core-Periphery Structural Differentiation?

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriela Carmen PASCARIU

    (Center for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iaşi, Iaşi, Romania.)

  • Gabriela DRĂGAN

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucureşti, Romania.)

  • Oana Ancuţa STÂNGACIU

    (Vasile Alecsandri University of Bacău, Bacău, Romania)

Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of trade patterns in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), in order to assess whether the EU integration process generates convergence between the older EU member states (EU15) and the CEE’s economies (EU12). The analysis specifically focuses on specialization/diversification trends in connection with the intra-EU convergence, examining the comparative advantage convergence (Balassa indexes of RCA and RSCA) between EU12 and EU15. Despite a high degree of specialization in the EU12, no significant differences among the CEE economies, in terms of growth and convergence, might be observed. However, although the reverse relationship between the specialization and the level of development has been confirmed, in some CEE countries (Poland, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria), the direct relation between the size of the economy and the degree of export diversification was invalidated.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriela Carmen PASCARIU & Gabriela DRĂGAN & Oana Ancuţa STÂNGACIU, 2019. "Integration and Trade Specialization in Central and Eastern European Countries: Towards A New Core-Periphery Structural Differentiation?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 148-169, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2019:i:3:p:148-169
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    Cited by:

    1. Gina Ionela Butnaru & Alina-Petronela Haller & Raluca Irina Clipa & Mirela Ștefănică & Mihaela Ifrim, 2020. "The Nexus Between Convergence of Conventional and Renewable Energy Consumption in the Present European Union States. Explorative Study on Parametric and Semi-Parametric Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-19, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    comparative advantages; trade specialization; export diversification; European integration; convergence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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