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Modelling The Economic Cycles. A Theoretical Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Albu, Lucian Liviu

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Nicolae, Mariana

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Iordan, Mioara

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Caraiani, Petre

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

Abstract

This article summarizes the main points of a project of the Institute of Economic Forecasting on the modelling of the business cycles. Each chapter is discussed in short but concise manner, namely, the second chapter on trend and cycles, the third chapter on the integration of business cycles into the long cycles, the fourth chapter on non-linear models and the last chapter on the empirical evidences of business cycles in the European area.

Suggested Citation

  • Albu, Lucian Liviu & Nicolae, Mariana & Iordan, Mioara & Caraiani, Petre, 2003. "Modelling The Economic Cycles. A Theoretical Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 5-16, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2003:i:5:p:5-16
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycles; trend; shocks; non-linear models; endogenous models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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