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Modelling The Economic Cycles. A Theoretical Approach


  • Albu, Lucian Liviu

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Nicolae, Mariana

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Iordan, Mioara

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

  • Caraiani, Petre

    () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)


This article summarizes the main points of a project of the Institute of Economic Forecasting on the modelling of the business cycles. Each chapter is discussed in short but concise manner, namely, the second chapter on trend and cycles, the third chapter on the integration of business cycles into the long cycles, the fourth chapter on non-linear models and the last chapter on the empirical evidences of business cycles in the European area.

Suggested Citation

  • Albu, Lucian Liviu & Nicolae, Mariana & Iordan, Mioara & Caraiani, Petre, 2003. "Modelling The Economic Cycles. A Theoretical Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 5-16, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2003:i:5:p:5-16

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Chris Shearlock & Phillip James & Jo Phillips, 2000. "Regional sustainable development: are the new regional development agencies armed with the information they require?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(2), pages 79-88.
    2. Yogesh Malhotra, 2000. "Knowledge Assets in the Global Economy: Assessment of National Intellectual Capital," Journal of Global Information Management (JGIM), IGI Global, vol. 8(3), pages 5-15, July.
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    More about this item


    business cycles; trend; shocks; non-linear models; endogenous models;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles


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