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Global Simulation of Quality and Security of Human Life


  • Zgurovski, M.

    () (National Technical University of Ukraine “Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, 37 Peremogy ave, Kyiv, Ukraine)


A system of factors (indices and indicators) and a new method of quantitative and qualitative evaluation are developed. This system, named “Sustainable Development Gauging Matrix” (SDGM) and data presented by reliable international organizations culminated in a Global Simulation regarding quality of life and security of the world population. Specifically, this study focuses on the analysis of the Systematic Regularity of World Conflicts over the Course of Time. A prognosis is detailed of the next world conflict, labeled the "Conflict of XXI Century”, and an analysis is provided of its nature and main characteristics; duration, main phases of the conflict and intensity. This prognosis details a set of basic global threats that spawn this conflict. Using cluster analysis, its influence on different countries of the world is accurately defined. These results were obtained by applying the capabilities of the world data centers network as a tool for providing a variety of scientific interdisciplinary data.

Suggested Citation

  • Zgurovski, M., 2009. "Global Simulation of Quality and Security of Human Life," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(3), pages 5-21, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:6:y:2009:i:3:p:5-21

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    More about this item


    noosphere; sustainable development; interdisciplinary data; global simulation; gauging matrix; global threats; conflict; cluster analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C69 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Other


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