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Clubs de convergencia regional en México: un análisis a través de un modelo no lineal de un solo factor

Listed author(s):
  • Rodríguez Benavides, Domingo

    ()

    (UAM-Azcapotzalco)

  • López Herrera, Francisco

    ()

    (UNAM)

  • Mendoza González, Miguel Ángel

    ()

    (UNAM)

Este trabajo investiga la hipótesis de convergencia en el PIB per cápita de los Estados de la República Mexicana para el periodo 1970-2012, a través de un modelo no lineal con coeficientes variantes de un solo factor en el tiempo propuesto por Phillips y Sul (2007). Este enfoque tiene la virtud de ser extremadamente flexible para modelar un gran número de sendas de transición a la convergencia, además de que no requiere ningún tipo de supuesto sobre la no estacionariedad de las series del panel. Encontramos la evidencia de convergencia relativa entre los estados de seis grupos o clubs de convergencia y si se excluyen los estados considerados como petroleros, los resultados son prácticamente los mismos. Abstract: This work shows the results of our research on the convergence hypothesis among the GDP of the Mexican states from 1970 to 2012 through the one factor non-linear model with time-varying coefficients as propounded by Phillips and Sul (2007). This highly flexible approach is fitted to model a number of transition paths to convergence, no requiring any special assumption about the non stationary of the panel series under analysis. We found evidence of relative convergence with state among six groups or convergence clubs and if the oil producer’s states are excluded of the sample, the results hold independently.

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Article provided by Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional in its journal INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH.

Volume (Year): (2016)
Issue (Month): 34 ()
Pages: 7-22

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Handle: RePEc:ris:invreg:0307
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