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Clubs de convergencia regional en México: un análisis a través de un modelo no lineal de un solo factor

Author

Listed:
  • Rodríguez Benavides, Domingo

    () (UAM-Azcapotzalco)

  • López Herrera, Francisco

    () (UNAM)

  • Mendoza González, Miguel Ángel

    () (UNAM)

Abstract

Este trabajo investiga la hipótesis de convergencia en el PIB per cápita de los Estados de la República Mexicana para el periodo 1970-2012, a través de un modelo no lineal con coeficientes variantes de un solo factor en el tiempo propuesto por Phillips y Sul (2007). Este enfoque tiene la virtud de ser extremadamente flexible para modelar un gran número de sendas de transición a la convergencia, además de que no requiere ningún tipo de supuesto sobre la no estacionariedad de las series del panel. Encontramos la evidencia de convergencia relativa entre los estados de seis grupos o clubs de convergencia y si se excluyen los estados considerados como petroleros, los resultados son prácticamente los mismos. Abstract: This work shows the results of our research on the convergence hypothesis among the GDP of the Mexican states from 1970 to 2012 through the one factor non-linear model with time-varying coefficients as propounded by Phillips and Sul (2007). This highly flexible approach is fitted to model a number of transition paths to convergence, no requiring any special assumption about the non stationary of the panel series under analysis. We found evidence of relative convergence with state among six groups or convergence clubs and if the oil producer’s states are excluded of the sample, the results hold independently.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodríguez Benavides, Domingo & López Herrera, Francisco & Mendoza González, Miguel Ángel, 2016. "Clubs de convergencia regional en México: un análisis a través de un modelo no lineal de un solo factor," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 34, pages 7-22.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:invreg:0307
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crecimiento económico; convergencia regional; modelos no lineales;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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