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Did Malta’s Accession to the EU Raise its Potential Growth? A Focus on the Foreign Workforce

Author

Listed:
  • George Grech, Aaron

    (Central Bank of Malta)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the impact on Malta’s potential output growth caused by increased migration. Administrative data show that the proportion of foreign workers has risen from 1.3% of the workforce in 2000 to 10.1% in 2014. While the bulk of these migrants are in managerial, professional, and technical occupations, there are a growing number in blue-collar occupations, along with clerical or auxiliary jobs. Migrant workers is concentrated in certain sectors, with half of them in (1) entertainment and recreation,(2) professional services and administrative support, and (3) hotels and restaurants. The estimates presented here suggest that from 2010 to 2014, foreign workers contributed annually to 0.6 percentage points of potential output growth, helping to boost it to an average of 2.5% per annum, one of the highest in the Euro area, and slightly above the average observed during the years immediately preceding Malta’s admission to the European Union.

Suggested Citation

  • George Grech, Aaron, 2017. "Did Malta’s Accession to the EU Raise its Potential Growth? A Focus on the Foreign Workforce," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 32(4), pages 873-890.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0741
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Brian Micallef & Nathaniel Debono, 2020. "The rental sector and the housing block in STREAM," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2020, Central Bank of Malta.
    2. Aaron George Grech, "undated". "The impact of migration assumption on ageing expenditure forecasts," CBM Policy Papers PP/07/2021, Central Bank of Malta.
    3. Germano Ruisi, 2020. "An Assessment of the Macroeconomic Implications of Foreign and Domestic Labour Supply Shocks in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/06/2020, Central Bank of Malta.
    4. Roberta Montebello & Jude Darmanin, 2021. "Saving behaviour in Malta: Insights from the Household Budgetary Survey," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2021, Central Bank of Malta.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Migration; Potential Output; EU Accession;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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