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Determining the Socio-Economic Importance of Saffron as an Alternative Product to Opium Production in Afghanistan

Author

Listed:
  • Aksory, Adem

    (Ataturk University Turkey)

  • Arslan, Aziz Ahmad

    (Turkish Maarif Foundation Afghanistan)

Abstract

The objective of this work is to determine the socio-economic importance of saffron production as an alternative to opium production in Afghanistan, and to determine if saffron production could influence farmers’ incomes. The primary data for the survey was obtained via direct interviews with farmers of 4 saffron leader districts in Herat, where 95% Saffron production was noted during 2016-2017. Factor analysis was used to determine the factors that influence saffron producers. Cluster analysis was used further, to separate farmer income groups. According to the first cluster, the most important factors affecting agricultural production were: negative climatic conditions while market instability was the second factor. Saffron producers’ annual average yield is 6.6 kg/ha in results that showed that if opium production is permitted, saffron farmers would produce opium due to the high revenue associated with opium production in Afghanistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Aksory, Adem & Arslan, Aziz Ahmad, 2019. "Determining the Socio-Economic Importance of Saffron as an Alternative Product to Opium Production in Afghanistan," Empirical Economic Review, Department of Economics and Statistics, Dr Hassan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, vol. 2(2), pages 1-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:empecr:0016
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural Policy; Cluster Analysis; Factor Analysis; Risk Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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