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A Methodological Analysis of Complex Dynamics of Grain Prices

Author

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  • Bodrikov, Dmitry

Abstract

A model of the wheat secondary market pricing mechanism is developed in the paper. The study is based on the data of agricultural relative stability in the period of 2000–2006. An adaptive model is constructed by combining several standard time-series ones. It allows assessing the pricing situation in the future by taking into account both seasonal fluctuations and specifics of the current year.

Suggested Citation

  • Bodrikov, Dmitry, 2008. "A Methodological Analysis of Complex Dynamics of Grain Prices," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 10(2), pages 11-20.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0128
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    wheat market; seasonal fluctuations;

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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