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Examinando algunas disyuntivas de política económica con un modelo estructural

  • Llosa Velásquez, Luis Gonzalo

En este documento se intenta dar respuesta, mediante el empleo de un modelo estructural, a tres tipos de interrogantes: las implicancias de una mejora en los procesos productivos, los efectos de un cambio en los niveles de endeudamiento público y los costos en términos del producto de un cambio en la tasa de inflación objetivo. Las simulaciones que arroja el modelo permiten concluir que un incremento permanente de productividad aumenta el nivel de producto (sostenible en el largo plazo) sin generar presiones inflacionarias; una reducción permanente de la deuda pública, manteniendo constante el gasto público, implica un mayor nivel de producto en el largo plazo a costa de una menor producción en el corto plazo y que el costo en términos de producto de una política de reducción de la inflación varía inversamente con el grado de credibilidad de la política monetaria.

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Article provided by Banco Central de Reserva del Perú in its journal Revista Estudios Económicos.

Volume (Year): (2004)
Issue (Month): 11 ()
Pages: -

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Handle: RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-11-02
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