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An Integrated Assessment of the Productive and Economic Impacts Generated by Change in Climatic Variability in an Irrigated Mediterranean Area

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriele Dono
  • Raffaele Cortignani
  • Luca Doro
  • Nicola Lacetera
  • Luigi Ledda
  • Massimiliano Pasqui
  • Sara Quaresima
  • Andrea Vitali
  • Pier Paolo Roggero
  • Graziano Mazzapicchio

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of climate change on temperature, rainfall, irrigation requirements and water availability in a Mediterranean area, integrating bio-physical and economic relationships. The probability distribution function (PDF) of climate variables shows that the near future will see an increasing probability of high temperatures and major irrigation requirements, with limited water resources. An economic model simulates the choices of farmers given the uncertainty represented by the PDF variability.. Crops suffer mainly due to more limited water resources, which can be counteracted by improving collective infrastructures for irrigation. Cow’s milk production suffers from the rising temperatures, which can be mitigated with cooling systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriele Dono & Raffaele Cortignani & Luca Doro & Nicola Lacetera & Luigi Ledda & Massimiliano Pasqui & Sara Quaresima & Andrea Vitali & Pier Paolo Roggero & Graziano Mazzapicchio, 2014. "An Integrated Assessment of the Productive and Economic Impacts Generated by Change in Climatic Variability in an Irrigated Mediterranean Area," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 4, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rar:journl:0296
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adaptation to climate change; Change of climate variability; Discrete stochastic programming; Net evapotranspiration and irrigation requirements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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